Profit realization on the rise: aSOPR holds steady above 1.0 since March’s SVB collapse

aSOPR holds steady above 1.0: discover the implications for profit realization and a constructive market outlook.

This article was published 3 years ago. Some details may no longer reflect current market conditions or recent developments. If you spot anything that needs an update, contact us.
Make preferred on Google logo

Quick Take

  • The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) is computed by dividing the realized value (in USD) divided by the value at creation (USD) of a spent output — or simply: price sold / price paid.
  • Adjusted SOPR is SOPR ignoring all outputs with a lifespan of less than 1 hour.
  • Data indicates aSOPR has been holding above 1.0 since the SVB collapse in March. This signifies that the market is now, on average, realizing profits in on-chain spending.
  • This generally aligns with a healthier inflow of demand (to absorb profit-taking) and a more constructive opinion of the asset.
  • We tested 1.0 at the end of March, and I expect to test it a few more times — similar to previous bear markets. We could undershoot 1.0 to flush out leverage, similar to 2019.
  • While both long and short-term holders realized profits for the first time since May 2022, this was in a downtrend in price. So we are in a similar period to early 2020 regarding price ascension.
SOPR: (Source: Glassnode)
SOPR: (Source: Glassnode)
ASOPR: (Source: Glassnode)
aSOPR: (Source: Glassnode)