AI bubble burst in 2026? No 87.4%
Yes 12.7%
Tech Prediction Markets
Track tech prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for AI, software, hardware, startups, space, and major technology events.
Total Active Markets 18
Total Volume $23.5M
Open Interest $3.38M
Total Liquidity $4.37M
AI bubble burst in 2026? 
Anthropic IPO date December 31, 2026 88%
October 31, 2026 82.5%
October 15, 2026 54%
+2 more outcomes
GPT-6 release date December 31, 2026 64.5%
November 30, 2026 60.5%
October 31, 2026 46%
+4 more outcomes
Next Google Gemini Pro Model release date? No release by August 31 93.1%
August 31 2.9%
August 26 1.7%
+9 more outcomes
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 October 31 96.5%
September 30 91.9%
Super Heavy booster explodes? 77%
+6 more outcomes
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? SpaceX 52.5%
Anthropic 45.6%
OpenAI 0.5%
+9 more outcomes
OpenAI IPO date December 31, 2026 16.5%
September 30, 2026 1.6%
August 31, 2026 0.1%
OpenAI’s Astra release date? October 31 88.5%
September 30 77.6%
September 15 47%
+1 more outcome
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announce date? December 31, 2027 36.5%
June 30, 2027 31%
February 28, 2027 22.5%
+3 more outcomes
OpenAI valuation 2026 $900B 88.5%
$1.0T 68.5%
$1.25T 45.5%
+12 more outcomes
Best Chinese AI Company end of August? Alibaba 87.8%
Moonshot 6.4%
Z.ai 3.8%
+8 more outcomes
Largest Company end of August? NVIDIA 97.5%
Apple 1.6%
Alphabet 0.9%
+5 more outcomes