California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra 88.8%
Steve Hilton 8.5%
Tom Steyer 0.7%
+20 more outcomes
Politics Prediction Markets
Explore Politics prediction markets, follow current probabilities, and track active outcomes as market expectations shift.
Total Active Markets 13
Total Volume $3.45B
Open Interest $124.96M
Total Liquidity $191.18M
California Governor Election Winner 
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 98.9%
Yes 1.1%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? August 31 7%
July 31 5.5%
June 30 2%
+1 more outcome
Peru Presidential Election Winner Keiko Fujimori 98.4%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 1.3%
Rafael López Aliaga 0.2%
+20 more outcomes
Venezuela leader end of 2026? Nicolás Maduro 73%
Delcy Rodríguez 15%
María Corina Machado 3.5%
+13 more outcomes
Next French Presidential Election Jordan Bardella 26.5%
Édouard Philippe 20.5%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12.5%
+33 more outcomes
Brazil Presidential Election Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 49.5%
Flávio Bolsonaro 26.6%
Renan Santos 13.4%
+14 more outcomes
Netanyahu out by…? December 31 53.5%
June 30 1.2%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 J.D. Vance 33.3%
Marco Rubio 23.1%
Tucker Carlson 6.5%
+32 more outcomes
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Gavin Newsom 23.3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.9%
Jon Ossoff 7.8%
+42 more outcomes
US x Iran permanent peace deal by…? December 31 82.5%
October 31 76%
August 31 69.5%
+3 more outcomes
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? Democratic 58.5%
Republican 40.5%