Politics Prediction Markets
Track politics prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for elections, leaders, policy decisions, and geopolitical events.
Total Active Markets 33
Total Volume $3.54B
Open Interest $133.14M
Total Liquidity $246.03M
Bubble size · Volume
Ring color · Probability change (24h)
Powered byPredictionBubblesUpUnchangedDownUnavailable
Market overview33 markets
| Actions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? | Politics | December 31 | 7.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $73.09M |  Polymarket | |
| Next French Presidential Election | Politics | Marine Le Pen | 34.5% | -3.15 pp (24h) | $131.14M | Polymarket | |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Politics | JD Vance | 24.2% | -0.1 pp (24h) | $704.29M | Polymarket | |
| Next Secretary-General of the United Nations | Politics | Rebeca Grynspan | 38.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $193.44K | Polymarket | |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Date | Politics | December 31 | 13% | -0.5 pp (24h) | $1.87M | Polymarket | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…? | Politics | Yes | 84.5% | -1.5 pp (24h) | $1.84M | Polymarket | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 15.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $65.44M | Polymarket | |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Politics | Democrats Sweep | 49.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $11.51M | Polymarket | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | 4% | +0.1 pp (24h) | $41.16M | Polymarket | |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | Politics | Nicolás Maduro | 83.7% | +0.3 pp (24h) | $96.04M | Polymarket | |
| California Governor Election Winner | Politics | Xavier Becerra | 95.4% | +0.6 pp (24h) | $40.97M | Polymarket | |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 19.4% | -0.05 pp (24h) | $1.28B | Polymarket | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 5.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $11.46M | Polymarket | |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Democratic | 60.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $2.13M | Polymarket | |
| UK Social Media Ban Date | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 40% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $2.59K | Polymarket | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…? | Politics | December 31 | 6.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $17.92M | Polymarket | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by…? | Politics | December 31 | 31.5% | +8 pp (24h) | $12.8M | Polymarket | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 13.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $23.51M | Polymarket | |
| Los Angeles Mayoral Election | Politics | Karen Bass | 65.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $13.56M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Politics | Democratic Party | 86.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $10.69M | Polymarket | |
| Brazil Presidential Election | Politics | Flávio Bolsonaro | 54.7% | +7.2 pp (24h) | $147.76M | Polymarket | |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | J.D. Vance | 50.3% | 0 pp (24h) | $702.19M | Polymarket | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 3.3% | -0.1 pp (24h) | $35.43M | Polymarket | |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | Politics | Gadi Eizenkot | 55.9% | +2.9 pp (24h) | $37M | Polymarket | |
| Russia Parliamentary Election Winner | Politics | United Russia (ER) | 98.6% | -0.5 pp (24h) | $3.67M | Polymarket | |
| Iran leader end of 2026? | Politics | Mojtaba Khamenei | 85.2% | +0.2 pp (24h) | $39.39M | Polymarket | |
| Next Premier of Quebec | Politics | Paul St-Pierre Plamondon | 76.5% | +2 pp (24h) | $320.69K | Polymarket | |
| Netanyahu out by…? | Politics | Yes | 53.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $2.41M | Polymarket | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Politics | Yes | 27.5% | -5 pp (24h) | $3.72M | Polymarket | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon date | Politics | December 31 | 5.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $8.45M | Polymarket | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 39.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $3.61M | Polymarket | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? | Politics | December 31 | 10.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $17.5M | Polymarket | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by…? | Politics | Yes | 3.6% | -0.05 pp (24h) | $104.66K | Polymarket |
