Politics Prediction Markets
Track politics prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for elections, leaders, policy decisions, and geopolitical events.
Total Active Markets 55
Total Volume $3.75B
Open Interest $148.36M
Total Liquidity $264.2M
Added This Week 6
Closing This Week 0
Bubble size · Volume
Ring color · Probability change (24h)
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Market overview
48 markets| Actions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next French Presidential Election | Politics | Marine Le Pen | 46.3% | 0 pp (24h) | $154.66M |  Polymarket | |
| Brazil Presidential Election | Politics | Flávio Bolsonaro | 78.9% | +1.7 pp (24h) | $190.8M | Polymarket | |
| Next Secretary-General of the United Nations | Politics | Rebeca Grynspan | 16.5% | -5.5 pp (24h) | $235.34K | Polymarket | |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Date | Politics | December 31, 2027 | 45.5% | Unavailable | $2.74M | Polymarket | |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Politics | JD Vance | 20.1% | 0 pp (24h) | $718.11M | Polymarket | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? | Politics | December 31 | 8.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $76.4M | Polymarket | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…? | Politics | Yes | 86.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $2.7M | Polymarket | |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Politics | Democrats Sweep | 64.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $27.89M | Polymarket | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 15.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $74.8M | Polymarket | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | 2.3% | 0 pp (24h) | $44.55M | Polymarket | |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | Politics | Nicolás Maduro | 74.5% | -2.25 pp (24h) | $98.63M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Politics | Democratic Party | 91.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $19.4M | Polymarket | |
| California Governor Election Winner | Politics | Xavier Becerra | 96.6% | 0 pp (24h) | $42.17M | Polymarket | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 9.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $30.02M | Polymarket | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 4.7% | +0.1 pp (24h) | $12.88M | Polymarket | |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | Politics | Gadi Eizenkot | 52.5% | +4.05 pp (24h) | $50.25M | Polymarket | |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 16.7% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $1.3B | Polymarket | |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Democratic | 65% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $2.51M | Polymarket | |
| Los Angeles Mayoral Election | Politics | Karen Bass | 54.5% | +5 pp (24h) | $15.52M | Polymarket | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…? | Politics | December 31 | 5.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $18.25M | Polymarket | |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | J.D. Vance | 43.8% | 0 pp (24h) | $714.05M | Polymarket | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by…? | Politics | December 31 | 15% | -0.5 pp (24h) | $17.4M | Polymarket | |
| UK Social Media Ban Date | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 61.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $5.13K | Polymarket | |
| Next Premier of Quebec | Politics | Paul St-Pierre Plamondon | 100% | 0 pp (24h) | $422.98K | Polymarket | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 2.4% | 0 pp (24h) | $35.7M | Polymarket | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Politics | Yes | 22% | -0.5 pp (24h) | $3.94M | Polymarket | |
| Iran leader end of 2026? | Politics | Mojtaba Khamenei | 87.3% | -0.1 pp (24h) | $40.38M | Polymarket | |
| Netanyahu out by…? | Politics | Yes | 41% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $2.77M | Polymarket | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon date | Politics | December 31, 2027 | 33.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $8.54M | Polymarket | |
| Who will win Florida’s 2026 governor election? | Politics | Byron Donalds (R) | 79.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $353.27K | Polymarket | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 44% | -0.5 pp (24h) | $4.34M | Polymarket | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? | Politics | December 31 | 14.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $20.19M | Polymarket | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by…? | Politics | Yes | 4.5% | +0.4 pp (24h) | $127.05K | Polymarket | |
| Who will win Kansas’s 2026 US Senate election? | Politics | Roger Marshall (R) | 61.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $974.08K | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win Tennessee’s 2026 US Senate election? | Politics | Bill Hagerty (R) | 96% | +0.1 pp (24h) | $97.74K | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win Iowa’s 2026 US Senate election? | Politics | Ashley Hinson (R) | 56.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $986.26K | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win Ohio’s 2026 US Senate election? | Politics | Sherrod Brown (D) | 69.5% | +5.5 pp (24h) | $1.45M | Polymarket | |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | Politics | James Talarico (D) | 64.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $4.85M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Politics | Democratic Party | 65.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $7.55M | Polymarket | |
| Who will win Alaska’s 2026 US Senate election? | Politics | Mary Peltola | 74.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $1.56M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win South Carolina’s 2026 Senate election? | Politics | Darline Graham Nordone (R) | 81.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $937.87K | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win Ohio’s 2026 governor election? | Politics | Amy Acton (D) | 78.5% | +4 pp (24h) | $603.87K | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win Michigan’s 2026 US Senate election? | Politics | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | 70.5% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $2.07M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win Arizona’s 2026 governor election? | Politics | Katie Hobbs (D) | 93.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $206.58K | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win Texas’s 2026 governor election? | Politics | Greg Abbott (R) | 69.3% | -7.05 pp (24h) | $683.14K | Polymarket | |
| Who will win Alaska’s 2026 governor election? | Politics | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 78.8% | -0.2 pp (24h) | $1.59M | Polymarket | |
| Who will win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Politics | Brad Bradford | 52.5% | +16.5 pp (24h) | $537.77K | Polymarket | |
| Who will win Iowa’s 2026 governor election? | Politics | Rob Sand (D) | 88% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $292.6K | Polymarket |
