Biden’s exit clears path for ‘decisive’ Trump victory, early Gensler resignation – 10x Biden’s exit clears path for ‘decisive’ Trump victory, early Gensler resignation – 10x
The firm believes Trump's rumored endorsement of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset could ignite a "parabolic" surge in the flagship crypto's price.
2 min read
Updated: Jul. 22, 2024 at 11:30 pm UTC
Cover art/illustration via CryptoSlate. Image includes combined content which may include AI-generated content.
10x Research said President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the 2024 presidential race would allow former President Donald Trump to secure a “decisive victory” in the November election.
According to the firm:
“No credible candidate can seriously challenge Donald Trump. The November election appears to have been decided without a single vote.”
10x believes this shift holds significant implications for both the political landscape and the crypto industry as a pro-crypto administration is now more likely to take over the White House, potentially leading to substantial changes in the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) leadership.
SEC leadership change
10x head of research Markus Thielen said that historically, the transition between administrations has prompted the resignation of the incumbent SEC chair.
Thielen believes the cycle could repeat under a Trump administration, with SEC Chair Gary Gensler likely resigning within the first two months of 2025 — well before his term officially ends on June 5, 2026.
He pointed to previous transitions that have shown this pattern, including Mary Jo White, Christopher Cox, and Harvey Pitt — each of whom resigned before their terms were up due to political pressure.
Thielen said that a Trump presidency would likely end Gensler’s role as head of the SEC, given the administration’s pro-crypto stance. In February, Trump’s running mate, J.D. Vance, criticized Gensler as the “worst person” to regulate crypto, citing a backward approach to crypto policy.
Leadership changes at the SEC could bring new perspectives and policies regarding the oversight of cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology. A pro-crypto administration is expected to foster a more favorable regulatory framework for digital assets, leading to growth and innovation within the industry.
Bullish catalyst
Thielen highlighted several bullish catalysts for the crypto market this week, including the potential launch of spot Ethereum ETFs, as well as “multiple reports and rumors” about Trump making a surprise announcement at the Bitcoin conference in Nashville on July 25.
Industry insiders claim Trump might endorse Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset at the conference and address some of the regulatory challenges the industry faces.
Thiele believes such an announcement will be the catalyst for a “parabolic” rise in Bitcoin’s value. He cautioned investors against taking profits or shorting BTC before Trump’s speech, suggesting that Bitcoin’s previous bull market all-time high of $68,300 could be a key level for future price action.
Bitcoin was trading at roughly $68,100 as of press time — up 1.1% over the past hours — and hovering close to its previous all-time highs, based on CryptoSlate data.
Bitcoin Market Data
At the time of press 11:30 pm UTC on Jul. 22, 2024, Bitcoin is ranked #1 by market cap and the price is down 0.76% over the past 24 hours. Bitcoin has a market capitalization of $1.33 trillion with a 24-hour trading volume of $42.21 billion. Learn more about Bitcoin ›
Crypto Market Summary
At the time of press 11:30 pm UTC on Jul. 22, 2024, the total crypto market is valued at at $2.44 trillion with a 24-hour volume of $86.74 billion. Bitcoin dominance is currently at 54.65%. Learn more about the crypto market ›
Mentioned in this article
Author 
Assad Jafri
AJ, a passionate journalist since Yemen's 2011 Arab Spring, has honed his skills worldwide for over a decade. Specializing in financial journalism, he now focuses on crypto reporting.
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Bitcoin, a decentralized currency that defies the sway of central banks or administrators, transacts electronically, circumventing intermediaries via a peer-to-peer network.
Ethereum
$3,172.24
Ethereum is a decentralized, open-source blockchain platform that enables the creation of smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps).
A businessman, politician, and media personality, Donald John Trump served as the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021.
Joe Biden, byname of Joseph Robinette Biden Jr., is an American politician and the 46th and current president of the United States.
Gary Gensler is an American government official and former investment banker who President Joseph Biden nominated to chair the U.S.
Markus Thielen is currently the Head of Research & Strategy at Matrixport, a one-stop digital assets financial services platform where users can invest, trade, and leverage crypto assets.