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UK skates toward stagflation as unemployment, inflation rise and economic growth falters UK skates toward stagflation as unemployment, inflation rise and economic growth falters

UK skates toward stagflation as unemployment, inflation rise and economic growth falters

Economic challenges loom as UK faces threats of stagflation

Quick Take

The United Kingdom’s economy is on a concerning trajectory toward stagflation, a condition characterized by high unemployment, elevated inflation, and stagnant economic growth.

Based on recent data, the unemployment rate has risen to 4.3%, marking a third consecutive increase. This rate, while still at secular lows, indicates an unsettling trend.

Moreover, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has evidenced a downturn. The latest data reveals a Month-on-Month (MoM) contraction of 0.5%, a sharper decline than the 0.2% forecasted, alongside a series of other disappointing statistics.

Finally, inflation remains a notable issue. The inflation rate in the UK has been relatively high for several years, persisting at 6.8% Year-on-Year (YOY), which is more than thrice the central bank’s target. This trio of economic burdens – unemployment, negative growth, and high inflation – signals a precarious approach towards stagflation, a scenario that could pose significant challenges to the UK’s economic stability.

UK Data: (trading Economics)
UK Data: (Trading Economics)