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Stellar Lumens (XLM) might be ready to break through its multi-year downtrend

Stellar Lumens (XLM) might be ready to break through its multi-year downtrend

Disclaimer: This article contains technical analysis, which is a methodology for forecasting the direction of prices through the study of past market data, primarily price and volume. The content presented in this article is the opinion of the author. None of the information you read on CryptoSlate should be taken as investment advice. Buying and trading cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk activity. Please do your own diligence and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Stellar Lumens recently moved above a downward trendline that was holding its price from a further advance for the past two years. Closing the week above this significant price hurdle could be the catalyst for a bull rally.

Stellar is breaking out of its downtrend

On Jan. 4, 2018, Stellar Lumens reached an all-time high of $0.98. Following the milestone, this cryptocurrency entered a massive downtrend that has seen its price depreciate by 96 percent. The multi-year bear market took XLM to recently hit a low of $0.042, which is a price level not seen since late November 2017.

Since the peak in the beginning of 2018, Stellar has been making a series of lower highs that formed a downward trendline. This barrier has been preventing XLM from breaking out of its downtrend. However, the price action this cryptocurrency has seen this week allowed it to move above this hurdle.

Stellar Lumens US dollar price chart
XLM/USD by TradingView

A bull rally is on the horizon

According to Michaël van de Poppe, a full time trader based in Amsterdam, breaking decisively above the two-years-old downtrend could trigger a parabolic advance. The technical analyst believes that if the $0.053 support level is able to hold, such a major upswing becomes extremely likely.

Poppe maintains that a spike in the buying pressure behind Lumens could allow it to surge from the current price levels all the way up to $0.09, $0.14, or even $0.19.

Poppe said:

“[Stellar Lumens] flipped the levels of $0.04 and $0.053 [into] support. [Now,] as long as $0.053 remains support, targets on the upside can be spotted with potential of 195 percent.”

Stellar Lumens US dollar price chart
XLM/USD by Michaël van de Poppe

Building momentum

From a short-term perspective, such as the 12-hour chart, XLM also seems to be building bullish momentum. This cryptocurrency has been contained within an ascending parallel channel since Dec. 17, 2019.

Since then, every time Lumens hits the bottom of the channel, it bounces off to the middle or the top. But, when it surges to the upper boundary of the channel, it falls back to the middle or the lower boundary.

Stellar is currently bouncing off the lower boundary, which suggests a further advance. An increase in demand for this cryptocurrency could push it to the top of the channel. This resistance level sits around $0.082. Such a bullish impulse would represent a 20 percent increase from the current price levels.

Stellar Lumens US dollar price chart
XLM/USD by TradingView

Market sentiment

Despite the bullish outlook that Stellar Lumens presents, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index (CFGI) is picking up high levels of greed among investors. Greed is usually perceived as a negative sign and tends to indicate that a selling opportunity is coming soon.

Following the recent 65 percent upswing that Stellar has gone through since mid-December 2019, a correction seems reasonable. Such a bearish impulse could help maintain the uptrend healthy by allowing sideliners to get back into the market. A new inflow of capital would likely send Lumens into new yearly highs.

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