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Bitcoin’s 25 Delta Skew experiences sharp fluctuations amid correction Bitcoin’s 25 Delta Skew experiences sharp fluctuations amid correction

Bitcoin’s 25 Delta Skew experiences sharp fluctuations amid correction

Data via Glassnode

Bitcoin's 25 Delta Skew highlights significant sentiment shifts in current correction.

Onchain Highlights

DEFINITION:Skew is the relative richness of put vs call options, expressed in terms of Implied Volatility (IV). For options with a specific expiry, 25 Delta Skew refers to puts with a delta of -25% and calls with a delta of 25% to demonstrate this difference in the marketโ€™s perception of implied volatility. 25 Delta Skew is calculated as the difference between a 25-delta putโ€™s implied volatility and a 25-delta callโ€™s implied volatility, normalized by the ATM Implied Volatility. This metrics focuses on option contracts expiring in 1 week.

Bitcoin’s options market has seen significant volatility in the 25 Delta Skew over the past several months. The one-week 25 Delta Skew metric on Deribit, which tracks the difference in implied volatility between 25-delta puts and calls, has fluctuated widely. Since January, the skew has ranged from lows of around -15% to highs exceeding 15%, highlighting the shifting sentiment and market perceptions of risk among options traders.

The latest data shows a sharp increase in the skew due to Bitcoin current correction. Such swings often reflect traders’ shifts between bearish and bullish outlooks.

Bitcoin: Options 25 Delta Skew (1Week): (Source: Glassnode)
Bitcoin: Options 25 Delta Skew (1Week): (Source: Glassnode)

For much of 2021 – 2023, the skew’s movements were less pronounced, with fluctuations primarily between -12% and 12%.

Bitcoin: Options 25 Delta Skew (1Week): (Source: Glassnode)
Bitcoin: Options 25 Delta Skew (1Week): (Source: Glassnode)

This year’s heightened volatility could indicate increased uncertainty or differing hedging strategies post the April 2024 Bitcoin halving. The halving, which reduces miners’ rewards, typically influences long-term market conditions by constraining supply.

Understanding these dynamics is crucial for anticipating potential price movements, as options skew can serve as a leading indicator of broader market sentiment.