Ancient Bitcoin supply nears all-time highs: What this means for experienced HODLers

Ancient coins on the move: unraveling the role of hodlers in bitcoin market cycles and their impact on daily transfer volume.

This article was published 3 years ago. Some details may no longer reflect current market conditions or recent developments. If you spot anything that needs an update, contact us.
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Quick Take

  • Given the infamous volatility of Bitcoin markets, coins aged 5yr or more are typically owned by HODLers who are very experienced in market cycles (or they are lost).
  • These coins are spent infrequently and represent just a small fraction of the daily transfer volume (if any). We refer to these as colloquially Ancient coins.
  • However, these coins may have also been acquired at much lower prices by mining or on secondary markets. When these coins are spent, they can represent very large USD-denominated values at modern prices.
  • Currently, these coins, as a supply %, are either at all-time highs or just below their all-time high.
  • In addition, ancient coins being spent is a normal occurrence in bear markets — especially last year during capitulation events. Examples can be seen with FTX and Luna collapse.

🟣 Coins aged 7yr+: 5.540M Bitcoin (All-Time High)

🔵 Coins aged 5y-10y: 2.766M Bitcoin (2% off its all-time high)

🟢 Coins aged 5y-7y: 1.642M Bitcoin (All-Time High)

Ancient Coins: (Source: Glassnode)
Ancient Coins: (Source: Glassnode)
Volume: (Source: Glassnode)
Volume: (Source: Glassnode)