Bloomberg analyst sees bleak future for Solana ETFs amid current SEC climate Bloomberg analyst sees bleak future for Solana ETFs amid current SEC climate
Although the issuers filings are still active, Eric Balchunas doesn't believe a Solana ETF approval will happen this year unless a change occurs on SEC's leadership.
2 min read
Updated: Aug. 20, 2024 at 9:01 pm UTC
Cover art/illustration via CryptoSlate. Image includes combined content which may include AI-generated content.
Chances of a Solana (SOL) exchange-traded fund (ETF) being approved in the US this year are equal to “a snowball’s chance in hell” unless there is a change in leadership in SEC leadership, according to senior Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas.
Balchunas highlighted in an Aug. 20 social media post that the 19b-4 forms filed for Solana ETFs by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (Cboe) were never acknowledged by the SEC. Thus, Cboe withdrew the forms, although the S-1 forms filed by the issuers are still active.
Notably, 19b-4 forms are filed to provide necessary information for the public about a proposed rule change, such as the listing of an ETF. Meanwhile, the S-1 form is a request by the SEC that must be approved so an issuer can publicly offer new securities.
In response to further questions, Balchunas added:
“Yes, near-zero chance [of approval] in 2024 and if Harris wins there’s prob near-zero chance in 2025 too. Only hope IMO is if Trump wins.”
Solana ETFs still in play
Despite the removal of 19b-4 forms, VanEck head of digital assets research Matthew Sigel said the firm’s application for a spot Solana ETF is still active.
VanEck and 21Shares filed applications for spot Solana ETFs in June, with Sigel saying at the time that it was a bet on former President Donald Trump winning the upcoming elections.
Moreover, Sigel reiterated that VanEck views SOL as a digital commodity instead of a security. He added that Solana’s decentralized structure, combined with its utility and economic role, positions it alongside digital commodities like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).
Sigel argues that Solana’s potential commodity status is enough to justify its own US-traded spot ETF.
However, Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart highlighted that the SEC has been making a point “in the courts and elsewhere” about SOL being a security, even if Ethereum is not.
The regulator recently filed an amendment in its lawsuit against Binance to avoid a court ruling on the security status of tokens like Solana. The amendment aims to prevent a legal classification of these assets, leaving their regulatory status uncertain.
The SEC’s move follows a recent court ruling that secondary sales of digital assets like Binance’s BNB token do not qualify as securities. Binance has pushed back and refused to start discovery until the amended complaint is reviewed. The exchange has also criticized the SEC’s approach as premature.
Mentioned in this article
Solana 
Bitcoin 
Ethereum 
BNB 
21shares 
VanEck 
Cboe Global Markets 
Binance 
Eric Balchunas 
James Seyffart Author 
Gino Matos
Gino Matos is a law school graduate and a seasoned journalist with six years of experience in the crypto industry. His expertise primarily focuses on the Brazilian blockchain ecosystem and developments in decentralized finance (DeFi).
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In this article
Solana is a high-performance blockchain platform that utilizes a unique consensus algorithm called “Proof of History” to achieve fast transaction speeds and low fees.
Bitcoin
$104,126.19
Bitcoin, a decentralized currency that defies the sway of central banks or administrators, transacts electronically, circumventing intermediaries via a peer-to-peer network.
Ethereum
$3,868.73
Ethereum is a decentralized, open-source blockchain platform that enables the creation of smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps).
21shares
21Shares is a Swiss provider of crypto- currency exchange-traded products (ETPs).
VanEck
VanEck is a global investment manager with offices around the world, including New York, Australia, China, Germany, Netherlands and Switzerland.
Cboe Global Markets
Cboe Global Markets is a leading global exchange operator and provider of financial market solutions.
Binance
Binance is a global cryptocurrency exchange that provides a platform for trading more than 100 cryptocurrencies.
Eric Balchunas is an American author, ETF analyst, and Senior ETF Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence.
James Seyffart is a well-regarded analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, specializing in Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) and the broader fund industry.