Treasury yields, specifically the 10-2 spread, have historically been accurate predictors of economic downturns. This spread, a comparison of the yields on the 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes, provides a clear snapshot of short-term versus long-term economic expectations. With a recent shift from -1.06% to -0.29%, what does this suggest about the future of our economy? Discover the potentially startling implications in our full Alpha article...
The 10-2 Treasury yield spread: A harbinger of economic downturn? The 10-2 Treasury yield spread: A harbinger of economic downturn?
There are many tools for assessing Treasury yields and broader financial markets, but the "10-2" spread stands out for its historical accuracy in predicting economic downturns.
3 min read
Updated: Oct. 6, 2023 at 1:40 am UTC
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