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Markets anticipate rate hike ‘skip’ at FOMC meeting Markets anticipate rate hike ‘skip’ at FOMC meeting

Markets anticipate rate hike ‘skip’ at FOMC meeting

The CPI report is due later today - forecasted yoy 4% rate is significantly below April's actual 4.9%.

Quick Take

  • The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is due at 08:30 ET today and will influence the outcome of the FOMC meeting tomorrow.
  • April’s year-over-year CPI came in at 4.9%. May’s is forecasted to come in at 4.0%.
  • May’s year-over-year core CPI is forecasted to come in at 5.3%. This metric refers to CPI less volatile components, including food and fuel.
  • Currently, markets are 79% in favor of a rate hike “skip” following tomorrow’s FOMC meeting.
  • The current U.S. Fed Funds Rate is 5.00-5.25.
Fed Funds: (Source: CME)
Fed Funds: (Source: CME)