Ethereum surged around 33 percent in the last 21 days after a steep decline. Although it seems like ETH will soon reach an exhaustion point, it could still have more legs. The following technical analysis will evaluate the cause of the recent surge and the possibility for a further upswing.
Ethereum technical analysis
For over two months, Ethereum plunged 55 percent from a high of $363 on June 26 to a low of $164 on Aug. 29.
The $167 support zone, at the moment, represented a pivotal point for ETH’s trend since this price level acted as a strong barrier of resistance during the beginning of the year. Breaking below it was going to cause a further decline to $145 or even $90, as stated by Max Keiser, host of RT’s Keiser Report. On the other hand, holding on to this support level was going to allow Ethereum to rebound and possibly continue its uptrend.
Now that it is confirmed that the $167 support zone was able to hold, this cryptocurrency is surging.
Based on the 1-week chart, the TD sequential indicator presented a bullish signal (in the form of a green 9) above the setup trendline. This buy signal predicts a one to four weeks correction to the upside or the beginning of a new bullish countdown.
In addition, a falling wedge developed under this timeframe. This technical formation signaled a price reversal from bearish to bullish targeting a 38 percent surge that could take ETH to hit $242. Thus far, Ethereum has gone up 25.5 percent from the breakout point ($175) of the falling wedge and has 12.5 percent more to go up in order to reach the target given by this bullish formation.
Nonetheless, the moving averages on the 3-day chart are signaling a higher bullish impulse. In fact, if Ethereum is able to break above the 150-three-day moving average ($220), the next level of resistance is given by the 200-three-day moving average that is sitting around $300. Therefore, a spike in volume that allows this crypto to trade above the 150-three-day moving average could end up in a 40 percent upswing.
By measuring the Fibonacci retracement indicator from the high of $363 on June 26 to the low of $164 on Aug. 29 on the 1-day chart, one can identify a series of support and resistance levels that may play a role in ETH’s uptrend.
Ethereum is currently testing the resistance zone given by the 23.6 percent Fibonacci retracement level that sits around $212. Breaking above this level may allow ETH to continue appreciating and test the next level of resistance, around $240 (38.2 percent Fib).
By hitting the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement area, Ethereum will be reaching the target given by the falling wedge seen on the 1-week chart. If so, a correction could be expected around this zone that takes this cryptocurrency back to the 23.6 percent Fibonacci retracement level before a further jump to the 200-three-day moving average or the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement area.
At the moment, Ethereum fundamentals look strong as its network has seen a number of metrics grow substantially since its last rally, including transaction fees and gas usage.
Along the same lines, the technicals for this cryptocurrency suggest that it is bound to continue surging at least another 12.5 percent from current price levels. The different buy signals presented on the 1-week chart have all played out and now it is just a matter of time before ETH hits the different targets mentioned in this analysis.
There is a possibility that Ethereum will reach $300, but it will first have to break above the 150-three-day moving average and the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement area. Nonetheless, if there is a spike in selling pressure behind this cryptocurrency that takes it below $196, a retest of the $167 support zone becomes extremely likely.