"Recent fluctuations in U.S. Treasury yields have set alarm bells ringing in financial circles. The spread between the 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields, a historically reliable predictor of economic downturns, is displaying unnerving signs. This indicator has accurately foreshadowed significant economic recessions throughout history, including the 2007-2008 financial crisis. As of September 10th, this spread has fallen to a worrying -1.26%, a figure that has caught the attention of market analysts and investors worldwide. But what does the Federal Reserve's recession probability model say about this...?"
![U.S. Treasury yield spread dips to historic lows signaling economic caution](https://cryptoslate.com/wp-content/themes/cryptoslate-2020/imgresize/timthumb.php?src=https://cryptoslate.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/us-treasury-yield.jpg&w=70&h=37&q=75)
U.S. Treasury yield spread dips to historic lows signaling economic caution
Investor confidence dwindles as treasury yield spread dives.
![U.S. Treasury yield spread dips to historic lows signaling economic caution](https://cryptoslate.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/us-treasury-yield-768x403.jpg)
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