Harris victory odds hit all-time high on Polymarket as her lead extends 10% over Trump Harris victory odds hit all-time high on Polymarket as her lead extends 10% over Trump
Odds of a Harris win soar on Polymarket as Democrat voices show support for a positive crypto regulation.
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Updated: Aug. 15, 2024 at 10:44 pm UTC
Cover art/illustration via CryptoSlate. Image includes combined content which may include AI-generated content.
Vice President Kamala Harris’ odds of winning the US presidential election reached an all-time high at 54% on Polymarket, with the Democrat representative now holding a 10% lead over former President Donald Trump.
Nevertheless, Trump holds the largest amount of bets, with over $75.6 million in cash, believing that he will return for a second term. Meanwhile, bets on Harris amount to $66.5 million.
Harris’ odds on Polymarket have been on the rise since many Democrat voices started showing support for crypto. Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and other prominent Democrats expressed strong support for crypto during the Crypto4Harris event on Aug. 14.
At the occasion, Schumer highlighted the importance of regulatory clarity and bipartisan collaboration to shape the industry’s future.ย
On the other hand, Trump’s odds are at their lowest level since Apr. 25. In a recent interview with Elon Musk, the Republican candidate did not mention or discuss crypto or Bitcoin, despite users on Polymarket betting over $1.3 million on it.ย
Favorable for crypto
Asset management firm CoinShares recently published a report on the potential impacts of both Trump and Harris’ presidencies on the US.
Although Trump has expressed strong support for the crypto industry in the US, the fiscal conservatism shown during his term as president could negatively impact the Bitcoin price if it were to be repeated.
The report highlighted:
โOverall, Trumpโs presidency could create a mixed but potentially advantageous landscape for Bitcoin.โ
Meanwhile, despite an unclear stance toward Bitcoin and the crypto market, Harris already shows a more balanced approach to the industry than the Biden administration.
Thus, even though signs suggest that a Trump presidential term would be more favorable to crypto than a Harris term, CoinShares analysts believe that this outcome “remains to be seen.”
Mentioned in this article
Author 
Gino Matos
Gino Matos is a law school graduate and a seasoned journalist with six years of experience in the crypto industry. His expertise primarily focuses on the Brazilian blockchain ecosystem and developments in decentralized finance (DeFi).
Editor Editor 
Assad Jafri
AJ, a passionate journalist since Yemen's 2011 Arab Spring, has honed his skills worldwide for over a decade. Specializing in financial journalism, he now focuses on crypto reporting.
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In this article
Bitcoin, a decentralized currency that defies the sway of central banks or administrators, transacts electronically, circumventing intermediaries via a peer-to-peer network.
Polymarket
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform that enables users to bet on world events using cryptocurrency.
Kamala Devi Harris (born October 20, 1964) is an American politician and attorney serving as the 49th Vice President of the United States.
A businessman, politician, and media personality, Donald John Trump served as the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021.
