
Backing Polymarket’s primary favorites would have lost 4%, new audit finds.
Bitquery’s 273-race scorecard found an 87% win rate, but its equal-dollar hypothetical shows why accurate calls can come at losing prices.

Stay current on Polymarket news, including prediction market growth, election activity, legal scrutiny, and crypto-native trading trends.
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Polymarket and Kalshi captured record sports activity, but only 54 Polymarket addresses collected nearly 60% of all gains.

ANJ cited Similarweb estimates after operator-level controls were circumvented in practice while the platform's live odds remained visible.

The HIP-4 framework could accelerate prediction-market listings, though prospective operators must lock 500,000 HYPE tokens.

Traders are pricing a possible rematch of the 2022 final, even as billions in historical volume remain scattered across longshot teams.

Polymarket whales are betting millions on World Cup favorites, and early upsets are already turning “safe” trades into seven-figure wins and losses.

“Yes” traders say Strategy’s filing proves they were right. The market’s resolution system may still pay the other side.



