Politics Prediction Markets
Track politics prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for elections, leaders, policy decisions, and geopolitical events.
Total Active Markets 59
Total Volume $3.79B
Open Interest $152.09M
Total Liquidity $265.47M
Added This Week 11
Closing This Week 0
Bubble size · Volume
Ring color · Probability change (24h)
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Market overview
48 markets| Actions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil Presidential Election | Politics | Flávio Bolsonaro | 79% | -0.55 pp (24h) | $197.15M |  Polymarket | |
| Next French Presidential Election | Politics | Marine Le Pen | 45.6% | -0.7 pp (24h) | $156.51M | Polymarket | |
| Next Secretary-General of the United Nations | Politics | Lana Nusseibeh | 41.5% | +4 pp (24h) | $240.27K | Polymarket | |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Date | Politics | December 31, 2027 | 52.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $2.96M | Polymarket | |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Politics | JD Vance | 20.6% | 0 pp (24h) | $718.84M | Polymarket | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…? | Politics | Yes | 86% | +1.5 pp (24h) | $3.14M | Polymarket | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? | Politics | December 31 | 8.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $76.65M | Polymarket | |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Politics | Democrats Sweep | 66.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $36.94M | Polymarket | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 19.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $75.34M | Polymarket | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | 2.3% | 0 pp (24h) | $44.82M | Polymarket | |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | Politics | Nicolás Maduro | 77.7% | +1.7 pp (24h) | $98.72M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Politics | Democratic Party | 91.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $21.38M | Polymarket | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 10.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $30.5M | Polymarket | |
| California Governor Election Winner | Politics | Xavier Becerra | 97.2% | +0.15 pp (24h) | $42.4M | Polymarket | |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | Politics | Gadi Eizenkot | 52.1% | +0.6 pp (24h) | $52.62M | Polymarket | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 4.7% | +0.4 pp (24h) | $13.13M | Polymarket | |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 17.2% | +0.9 pp (24h) | $1.3B | Polymarket | |
| Los Angeles Mayoral Election | Politics | Nithya Raman | 54.3% | +1.6 pp (24h) | $15.91M | Polymarket | |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Democratic | 65.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $2.51M | Polymarket | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…? | Politics | December 31 | 5.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $18.29M | Polymarket | |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | J.D. Vance | 44.2% | -0.05 pp (24h) | $716.49M | Polymarket | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by…? | Politics | December 31 | 17.5% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $17.59M | Polymarket | |
| UK Social Media Ban Date | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 66.5% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $5.36K | Polymarket | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Politics | Yes | 22.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $3.96M | Polymarket | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 2.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $35.81M | Polymarket | |
| Iran leader end of 2026? | Politics | Mojtaba Khamenei | 85.6% | +0.6 pp (24h) | $40.47M | Polymarket | |
| Who will win Florida’s 2026 governor election? | Politics | Byron Donalds (R) | 81.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $414.14K | Polymarket | |
| Netanyahu out by…? | Politics | Yes | 40.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $2.79M | Polymarket | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon date | Politics | December 31, 2027 | 32.5% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $8.54M | Polymarket | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 38.5% | -2 pp (24h) | $4.41M | Polymarket | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? | Politics | December 31 | 14.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $20.34M | Polymarket | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by…? | Politics | Yes | 3.3% | -1.35 pp (24h) | $136.29K | Polymarket | |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | Politics | James Talarico (D) | 63.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $6.15M | Polymarket | |
| Who will win Kansas’s 2026 US Senate election? | Politics | Roger Marshall (R) | 62.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $1.21M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win Tennessee’s 2026 US Senate election? | Politics | Bill Hagerty (R) | 96.2% | +0.1 pp (24h) | $105.91K | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win Ohio’s 2026 US Senate election? | Politics | Sherrod Brown (D) | 66.5% | -2.5 pp (24h) | $1.65M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win South Carolina’s 2026 Senate election? | Politics | Darline Graham Nordone (R) | 80.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $1.01M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win Ohio’s 2026 governor election? | Politics | Amy Acton (D) | 81.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $933.08K | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win Iowa’s 2026 US Senate election? | Politics | Ashley Hinson (R) | 58% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $1.08M | Polymarket | |
| Who will win Alaska’s 2026 US Senate election? | Politics | Mary Peltola | 75.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $1.64M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Politics | Democratic Party | 66.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $9.04M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win Wisconsin’s 2026 governor election? | Politics | David Crowley (D) | 80.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $811.74K | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win Arizona’s 2026 governor election? | Politics | Katie Hobbs (D) | 91.5% | -0.5 pp (24h) | $254.49K | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win Texas’s 2026 governor election? | Politics | Greg Abbott (R) | 69% | -3.5 pp (24h) | $870.52K | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win Michigan’s 2026 US Senate election? | Politics | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | 71.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $2.55M | Polymarket | |
| Who will win Alaska’s 2026 governor election? | Politics | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 86.6% | +0.8 pp (24h) | $1.66M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win Minnesota’s 2026 US Senate election? | Politics | Peggy Flanagan (D) | 85.5% | -2 pp (24h) | $419.88K | Polymarket | |
| Who will win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Politics | Olivia Chow | 62.5% | -3 pp (24h) | $700.01K | Polymarket |
