Politics Prediction Markets
Track politics prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for elections, leaders, policy decisions, and geopolitical events.
Total Active Markets 33
Total Volume $3.53B
Open Interest $133.77M
Total Liquidity $251.98M
Bubble size · Volume
Ring color · Probability change (24h)
Powered byPredictionBubblesUpUnchangedDownUnavailable
Market overview33 markets
| Actions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? | Politics | December 31 | 6.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $73.03M |  Polymarket | |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Politics | JD Vance | 24.4% | +0.3 pp (24h) | $704.07M | Polymarket | |
| Next French Presidential Election | Politics | Marine Le Pen | 37.5% | +1.8 pp (24h) | $130.07M | Polymarket | |
| Next Secretary-General of the United Nations | Politics | Rebeca Grynspan | 38.5% | -0.5 pp (24h) | $193.17K | Polymarket | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…? | Politics | Yes | 86.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $1.63M | Polymarket | |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Date | Politics | December 31 | 13.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $1.86M | Polymarket | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 14.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $65.11M | Polymarket | |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Politics | Democrats Sweep | 49.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $11.45M | Polymarket | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | 3.9% | -0.1 pp (24h) | $41.11M | Polymarket | |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | Politics | Nicolás Maduro | 83.3% | +0.6 pp (24h) | $96.04M | Polymarket | |
| California Governor Election Winner | Politics | Xavier Becerra | 94.8% | +0.05 pp (24h) | $40.94M | Polymarket | |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 18.8% | 0 pp (24h) | $1.27B | Polymarket | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 5.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $11.45M | Polymarket | |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Democratic | 60.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $2.13M | Polymarket | |
| UK Social Media Ban Date | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 41% | +2.5 pp (24h) | $2.59K | Polymarket | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…? | Politics | December 31 | 6.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $17.89M | Polymarket | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by…? | Politics | December 31 | 21% | +5.5 pp (24h) | $12.46M | Polymarket | |
| Los Angeles Mayoral Election | Politics | Karen Bass | 65.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $13.55M | Polymarket | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 14.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $23.23M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Politics | Democratic Party | 87.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $10.42M | Polymarket | |
| Brazil Presidential Election | Politics | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 51.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $146.48M | Polymarket | |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | J.D. Vance | 50.3% | 0 pp (24h) | $701.47M | Polymarket | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 3.4% | 0 pp (24h) | $35.43M | Polymarket | |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | Politics | Gadi Eizenkot | 53.9% | -3.75 pp (24h) | $36.92M | Polymarket | |
| Russia Parliamentary Election Winner | Politics | United Russia (ER) | 99.1% | 0 pp (24h) | $3.64M | Polymarket | |
| Iran leader end of 2026? | Politics | Mojtaba Khamenei | 85% | -0.2 pp (24h) | $39.37M | Polymarket | |
| Next Premier of Quebec | Politics | Paul St-Pierre Plamondon | 71.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $319.56K | Polymarket | |
| Netanyahu out by…? | Politics | Yes | 53.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $2.41M | Polymarket | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Politics | Yes | 32.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $3.71M | Polymarket | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon date | Politics | December 31 | 4.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $8.45M | Polymarket | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 39.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $3.61M | Polymarket | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? | Politics | December 31 | 9.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $17.45M | Polymarket | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by…? | Politics | Yes | 3.6% | +0.2 pp (24h) | $104.66K | Polymarket |
