Prediction Markets Overview — a comprehensive summary
Explore prediction market data across politics, sports, crypto, finance, and more. Track probabilities, compare platforms, and follow how market expectations change over time.
Total Active Markets 94
Total Volume $4.54B
Open Interest $220.09M
Total Liquidity $346.85M
Bubble size · Volume
Ring color · Probability change (24h)
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Market overview48 markets
| Actions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballon d’Or Winner 2026 | Sports | Harry Kane | 62.6% | -0.4 pp (24h) | $34.19M |  Polymarket | |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Crypto | Yes | 16.5% | +2 pp (24h) | $14.55M | Polymarket | |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k before 2027? | Crypto | by December 31, 2027 | 18% | 0 pp (24h) | $27.24M | Polymarket | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Tech | Yes | 10.3% | -1 pp (24h) | $2.37M | Polymarket | |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Culture | Yes | 6.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $797.98K | Polymarket | |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Economy | Yes | 70.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $8.8M | Polymarket | |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? | Crypto | ↓ 75,000 | 82% | +4 pp (24h) | $64.5M | Polymarket | |
| Anthropic IPO date | Tech | December 31, 2026 | 88.5% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $2.8M | Polymarket | |
| What will Anthropic’s valuation hit by December 31? | Finance | ↑$1.5T | 95.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $4.53M | Polymarket | |
| Next James Bond actor? | Culture | Jack Lowden | 37.9% | -2.3 pp (24h) | $782.2K | Polymarket | |
| Satoshi’s identity proven in 2026? | Crypto | Yes | 2.4% | 0 pp (24h) | $937.13K | Polymarket | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? | Politics | December 31 | 6.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $73.03M | Polymarket | |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Politics | JD Vance | 24.4% | +0.3 pp (24h) | $704.07M | Polymarket | |
| Next French Presidential Election | Politics | Marine Le Pen | 37.5% | +1.8 pp (24h) | $130.07M | Polymarket | |
| Next Secretary-General of the United Nations | Politics | Rebeca Grynspan | 38.5% | -0.5 pp (24h) | $193.17K | Polymarket | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…? | Politics | Yes | 86.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $1.63M | Polymarket | |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Date | Politics | December 31 | 13.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $1.86M | Polymarket | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Culture | December 31 | 3.1% | -0.8 pp (24h) | $66.82M | Polymarket | |
| Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner | Culture | The Odyssey | 48% | -1 pp (24h) | $163.84K | Polymarket | |
| SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 | Tech | October 31 | 96.5% | -0.65 pp (24h) | $481.96K | Polymarket | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 14.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $65.11M | Polymarket | |
| EPL: 2027 Champion | Sports | Arsenal | 53.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $15.29M | Polymarket | |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Politics | Democrats Sweep | 49.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $11.45M | Polymarket | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | 3.9% | -0.1 pp (24h) | $41.11M | Polymarket | |
| UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion | Sports | Barcelona | 19.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $30.13M | Polymarket | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Culture | Yes | 1.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $65.63M | Polymarket | |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | Tech | Anthropic | 58.8% | +1.05 pp (24h) | $5.97M | Polymarket | |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | Politics | Nicolás Maduro | 83.3% | +0.6 pp (24h) | $96.04M | Polymarket | |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | Sports | Mayweather | 50.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $156.45K | Polymarket | |
| California Governor Election Winner | Politics | Xavier Becerra | 94.8% | +0.05 pp (24h) | $40.94M | Polymarket | |
| OpenAI IPO date | Tech | June 30, 2027 | 51.5% | +1.5 pp (24h) | $2.94M | Polymarket | |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 18.8% | 0 pp (24h) | $1.27B | Polymarket | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announce date? | Tech | December 31, 2027 | 47% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $1.16M | Polymarket | |
| 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) | Sports | Alexander Zverev | 50.8% | +6 pp (24h) | $24.3M | Polymarket | |
| OpenAI valuation 2026 | Tech | ↑$1.0T | 87% | +2 pp (24h) | $1.12M | Polymarket | |
| What price will Solana hit in September? | Crypto | ↓ 100 | 89.5% | +19.5 pp (24h) | $244.31K | Polymarket | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 5.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $11.45M | Polymarket | |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Democratic | 60.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $2.13M | Polymarket | |
| UK Social Media Ban Date | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 41% | +2.5 pp (24h) | $2.59K | Polymarket | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…? | Politics | December 31 | 6.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $17.89M | Polymarket | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by…? | Politics | December 31 | 21% | +5.5 pp (24h) | $12.46M | Polymarket | |
| Los Angeles Mayoral Election | Politics | Karen Bass | 65.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $13.55M | Polymarket | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 14.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $23.23M | Polymarket | |
| New Stranger Things episode release date | Culture | March 31, 2027 | 6% | 0 pp (24h) | $30.9M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Politics | Democratic Party | 87.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $10.42M | Polymarket | |
| Bank of Japan Decision in September? | Finance | 25 bps increase | 97.9% | +0.35 pp (24h) | $706.72K | Polymarket | |
| Brazil Presidential Election | Politics | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 51.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $146.48M | Polymarket | |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | J.D. Vance | 50.3% | 0 pp (24h) | $701.47M | Polymarket |
