AI bubble burst in 2026? No 84.2%
Yes 15.9%
Polymarket Prediction Markets
Browse active prediction markets from Polymarket, track current probabilities, and compare outcomes across the platform.
Total Active Markets 59
Total Volume $8.18B
Open Interest $236.04M
Total Liquidity $291.16M
AI bubble burst in 2026? 
NBA: LeBron James Next Team Cleveland Cavaliers 47.7%
Miami Heat 22%
Golden State Warriors 13.4%
+27 more outcomes
Norway vs. England England 50.1%
Draw 25.6%
Norway 25.4%
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No 56.5%
Yes 43.5%
Presidential Election Winner 2028 JD Vance 19.9%
Marco Rubio 13.9%
Gavin Newsom 11.6%
+34 more outcomes
World Cup Winner France 38.2%
Spain 21%
Argentina 17.7%
+3 more outcomes
Will Bitcoin hit $150k before 2027? No 95.7%
Yes 4.3%
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by…? December 31 22.5%
October 31 12.5%
Next French Presidential Election Marine Le Pen 27.5%
Édouard Philippe 26.5%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11.5%
+33 more outcomes
California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra 92.7%
Steve Hilton 7.5%
Rick Caruso 0.1%
+20 more outcomes
What will Anthropic’s valuation hit by December 31? ↑$1.25T 91.5%
↑$1.5T 77.5%
↑$1.75T 57.5%
+8 more outcomes
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 98.2%
Yes 1.9%