UK social media ban in effect by…? June 30, 2027 55.5%
December 31, 2026 25.5%
Prediction Markets
Explore prediction market data across politics, sports, crypto, finance, and more. Track probabilities, compare platforms, and follow how market expectations change over time.
Total Active Markets 53
Total Volume $6.77B
Open Interest $217.6M
Total Liquidity $796.7M
UK social media ban in effect by…? 
Portugal vs. DR Congo Draw (Portugal vs. DR Congo) 100%
DR Congo 0%
Portugal 0%
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30? No 80.5%
Yes 19.5%
Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30? 45%+ 12%
50%+ 10.5%
55%+ 1.5%
France vs. Senegal France 100%
Senegal 0%
Draw (France vs. Senegal) 0%
Which company has best AI model end of June? Anthropic 98.2%
Google 0.7%
OpenAI 0.5%
+12 more outcomes
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…? June 14 100%
June 15 100%
June 16 100%
+20 more outcomes
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by…? December 31 25.5%
October 31 15%
June 30 0.6%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde Draw (Spain vs. Cabo Verde) 100%
Spain 0%
Cabo Verde 0%
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…? December 31 95%
August 31 94%
July 31 87.5%
+2 more outcomes
California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra 89.5%
Steve Hilton 8.4%
Chad Bianco 0.2%
+20 more outcomes
United States vs. Paraguay United States 100%
Draw (United States vs. Paraguay) 0%
Paraguay 0%