Satoshi’s identity be proven by…? December 31 3.6%
June 30 0.4%
Prediction Markets
Explore prediction market data across politics, sports, crypto, finance, and more. Track probabilities, compare platforms, and follow how market expectations change over time.
Total Active Markets 24
Total Volume $6.37B
Open Interest $198.1M
Total Liquidity $705.87M
Satoshi’s identity be proven by…? 
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by…? December 31 9.5%
September 30 4.5%
June 30 0.9%
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? Democratic 58.5%
Republican 40.5%
Presidential Election Winner 2028 Marco Rubio 15.7%
JD Vance 15.1%
Gavin Newsom 14.4%
+34 more outcomes
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? SpaceX 86%
Anthropic 10.2%
OpenAI 2.3%
+9 more outcomes
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? ↓ 60,000 83%
↑ 70,000 81%
↑ 75,000 70.5%
+29 more outcomes