Solana price prediction 2026 and 2027

SOL
Layer 1
1-year illustrative central scenario
$92.99
Current price $90.31

Solana price prediction summary

HorizonHigh (P90)MedianLow (P10)
30 days$127.15 increased by 41.20% from reference close$93.40 increased by 3.70% from reference close$68.97 decreased by 23.40% from reference close
90 daysNo public targets for this horizon
1 yearView 1-year illustrative outlook

Rounded USD prices. Low and high are model P10 and P90; changes are from each snapshot’s reference close.

SOL price forecast chart

Illustrative · unvalidated

Illustrative outlook · unvalidated One-year accuracy is unvalidated. Shading shows scenarios, not probabilities.

Reference close
$90.06
Central scenario
$92.99
Target date
CryptoSlate Forecast

1-year illustrative outlook

Actual Central scenario Illustrative range
Solana price history and 1-year illustrative outlook Actual daily closes end at the reference close on Nov 6, 2026. Frozen fitting-only checkpoints extend to Nov 6, 2027. The dashed line is the central scenario; blue shading extends to the upside scenario and orange hatched shading to the downside scenario. These bounds have no held-out one-year validation and are not calibrated probability intervals.
Actual daily closes end at the reference close on Nov 6, 2026. Frozen fitting-only checkpoints extend to Nov 6, 2027. The dashed line is the central scenario; blue shading extends to the upside scenario and orange hatched shading to the downside scenario. These bounds have no held-out one-year validation and are not calibrated probability intervals.

1-year illustrative scenarios

Target close

  • Upside scenario

    195.5%
    $266

    Fitting-only model scenario with any saved milestone assumptions. No calibrated probability is assigned.

  • Central scenario

    3.3%
    $92.99

    Fitting-only model scenario with any saved milestone assumptions. No calibrated probability is assigned.

  • Downside scenario

    61.8%
    $34.36

    Fitting-only model scenario with any saved milestone assumptions. No calibrated probability is assigned.

Illustrative scenarios are unvalidated model outputs, not guaranteed outcomes or investment advice. Actual prices can fall outside the displayed range.

Solana price prediction by year

December 31 UTC close · USD
YearTarget dateUpside scenarioCentral scenarioDownside scenario
2026Year-end UTC close$132.38 increased by 47.00% from reference close$90.61 increased by 0.60% from reference close$61.45 decreased by 31.80% from reference close
2027Year-end UTC close$296.26 increased by 229.00% from reference close$95.73 increased by 6.30% from reference close$31.21 decreased by 65.30% from reference close
2028Year-end UTC close$464.03 increased by 415.30% from reference close$94.94 increased by 5.40% from reference close$21.67 decreased by 75.90% from reference close
2029Year-end UTC close$698.17 increased by 675.20% from reference close$99.81 increased by 10.80% from reference close$16.13 decreased by 82.10% from reference close
2030Year-end UTC close$932.54 increased by 935.50% from reference close$100.26 increased by 11.30% from reference close$12.22 decreased by 86.40% from reference close

Illustrative USD scenarios for December 31 through 2030. Percentage changes use the frozen reference close. A simulation uses up to three years of price history and drift shrinkage, adjusted by saved milestone assumptions. These bounds are not calibrated probability intervals; short-term backtests do not validate the annual model.

Reference close: Nov 6, 2026. Each event effect phases in once and is then held constant. Neutral central assumptions leave the central baseline unchanged. Overlapping events and effects already reflected in price can distort results. Review the assumptions with each event; price effects are illustrative editorial inputs.

View forecast milestones

Solana forecast milestones

Price effects are editorial assumptions saved with this forecast, not source-backed estimates.

2026 Nov–Nov

Network upgrade · Solana network

Agave 4.4 runtime upgrades

Solana’s official roadmap targets Agave 4.4 for November 2026, including sBPFv3 for new program deployments and CPI nesting depth increasing from four to eight. These changes could support more complex applications and simplify runtime support. Migration work, bugs, delays or weak adoption could offset benefits. Existing programs continue to run; the release does not guarantee additional demand for SOL.

Proposed solana.com primary source Checked

Illustrative price effects

Upside
0%
Central
0%
Downside
0%
Assumptions and timing
Editorial note
Zero adjustment in all scenarios. The source supports the event description and timing status, but does not quantify a SOL price effect. No additional numerical effect is assumed. Related upgrades, regulatory changes and adoption trends can overlap, so this entry should not duplicate adjustments elsewhere.
Event timing
Nov 1, 2026 – Nov 30, 2026
Phase-in
Begins at the expected date or window start; reaches full effect 180 days after the event or window ends.
2026 Dec–Dec

Network upgrade · Solana network

Agave 4.5: more accounts per v1 transaction

Solana’s official roadmap targets Agave 4.5 for December 2026, with the account limit for v1 transactions increasing from 64 to 96. More accounts could let applications combine additional pools, programs and signers in one transaction. Delivery depends on development and activation, while actual application adoption and SOL fee demand remain uncertain.

Proposed solana.com primary source Checked

Illustrative price effects

Upside
0%
Central
0%
Downside
0%
Assumptions and timing
Editorial note
Zero adjustment in all scenarios. The source supports the event description and timing status, but does not quantify a SOL price effect. No additional numerical effect is assumed. Related upgrades, regulatory changes and adoption trends can overlap, so this entry should not duplicate adjustments elsewhere.
Event timing
Dec 1, 2026 – Dec 31, 2026
Phase-in
Begins at the expected date or window start; reaches full effect 180 days after the event or window ends.
2027 Jan–Sep

Regulation · European Union

First DAC8 crypto-asset reporting and information exchange

DAC8 reporting covers relevant 2026 crypto-asset transactions, with the first reporting cycle falling between January 1 and September 30, 2027 and domestic deadlines varying. For SOL, obligations on relevant service providers could change compliance costs, access friction and confidence in regulated markets. This is a reporting regime, not a new token tax rate or a ban; coverage depends on the provider and transaction.

Scheduled EU Commission primary source Checked

Illustrative price effects

Upside
0%
Central
0%
Downside
0%
Assumptions and timing
Editorial note
Zero adjustment in all scenarios. The source supports the event description and timing status, but does not quantify a SOL price effect. No additional numerical effect is assumed. Related upgrades, regulatory changes and adoption trends can overlap, so this entry should not duplicate adjustments elsewhere.
Event timing
Jan 1, 2027 – Sep 30, 2027
Phase-in
Begins at the expected date or window start; reaches full effect 180 days after the event or window ends.
TBD Date not known

Network upgrade · Solana network

Alpenglow Phase 2: Rotor block propagation

The Solana Foundation describes Rotor as a later Alpenglow phase that would replace Turbine’s block propagation tree with a single relay layer to reduce network latency. Votor is already live, but Rotor has no announced activation schedule. Better propagation could improve reliability and application responsiveness; implementation risk, delays and limited economic adoption could offset any benefit to SOL demand.

Proposed solana.com primary source Checked

Context only

Date not known; no price adjustment.

Assumptions and timing
Editorial note
Zero adjustment in all scenarios. The source supports the event description and timing status, but does not quantify a SOL price effect. No additional numerical effect is assumed. Related upgrades, regulatory changes and adoption trends can overlap, so this entry should not duplicate adjustments elsewhere.
Event timing
Date not known

How we build this forecast

We use historical Solana prices to model possible outcomes. Backtested forecasts and fitting-only illustrative outlooks have separate evidence and limitations.

  1. Historical prices

    Past price data informs volatility and market patterns.

  2. Range of outcomes

    Models estimate possible future prices. Illustrative outlooks also apply saved milestone assumptions.

  3. Tested on past data

    Held-out forecasts are scored against a simple baseline. This does not validate the separate illustrative outlooks.

1-year validation unavailable

Validation unavailable

No held-out validation result is available for this published snapshot. Forecast accuracy has not been established here.

Model
illustrative-outlook.v1
Snapshot as of
Model details and inputs
Model
illustrative-outlook.v1
Price history
1,096 consecutive daily closes, from 2023-11-07 to 2026-11-06. Minimum: 366 closes; maximum: 1096.
Method
One horizon-adjusted Student-t GARCH simulation supplies the rolling 365-day and year-end targets.
Milestones
Saved milestone effects are editorial assumptions.
Validation
No held-out target-horizon validation or calibrated coverage is claimed.
Full methodology Opens in a new tab

Public Solana predictions

What public figures said, when they said it, and the targets they set. These statements are separate from the CryptoSlate forecast.

Unknown statement dates use the article date. Price sorting uses single USD targets; other targets appear last.
  1. Said on

    Matthew Sigel

    Head of Digital Assets Research · VanEck

    VanEck’s February 2025 research, coauthored by Matthew Sigel, projected SOL at $520 by year-end 2025. The model assumed Solana’s share of smart-contract-platform market capitalization would rise from 15% to 22%, within a projected $1.1 trillion sector, supported by developer activity, DEX usage, revenue and user growth.

    The $520 target was not reached by year-end 2025. As checked on November 7, 2026, CryptoSlate’s Solana profile reports an all-time high of $294.33 on January 19, 2025, below the forecast target. Assessment evidence · Reviewed Nov 7, 2026

    Price target
    $520
    Timeframe
    By year-end 2025
    Conditions
    Historical forecast; rising smart-contract-platform market share and M2 growth assumptions
    Editorial assessment
    Target missed
    Published Read CryptoSlate coverage
  2. Said on

    Matthew Hougan

    Chief Investment Officer · Bitwise Asset Management

    Bitwise’s 2025 outlook, coauthored by Matt Hougan and Ryan Rasmussen, set a $750 SOL target during 2025. Its thesis combined growing developer activity and memecoin activity with more established projects migrating to Solana, alongside a supportive institutional and regulatory backdrop.

    The $750 target was not reached during 2025. CryptoSlate’s retrospective explicitly identifies Bitwise’s SOL target as missed and reports Solana trading in the low-$100s into year-end. Assessment evidence · Reviewed Nov 7, 2026

    Price target
    $750
    Timeframe
    During 2025
    Conditions
    Historical annual outlook; application growth and institutional adoption
    Editorial assessment
    Target missed
    Published Read CryptoSlate coverage
  3. Said on

    Matthew Sigel

    Head of Digital Assets Research · VanEck

    VanEck’s 2030 valuation study, coauthored by Matthew Sigel and Patrick Bush, modeled SOL from $9.81 in the bear case to $3,211.28 in the bull case, with a $335 base case. The scenarios relied on different market-share and revenue assumptions; the adoption thesis included Solana hosting an application with more than 100 million users. These were illustrative valuation scenarios, not a guaranteed outcome.

    Price target
    $9.81–$3,211.28 (bear to bull); $335 base case
    Timeframe
    By 2030
    Conditions
    Illustrative bear, base and bull valuation scenarios; mass-adoption assumptions
    Published Read CryptoSlate coverage

Historical statements retain their original context. Targets may change; inclusion is not endorsement or a claim of accuracy.

Solana price prediction FAQ

How is the Solana price prediction calculated?

Backtested forecasts model prices at a stated target date using historical returns and volatility. Separately labeled illustrative outlooks fit scenarios to available price history with any saved milestone assumptions. The Method section identifies the inputs and validation evidence for the selected run.

What do the low and high forecasts mean?

In the backtested forecast table, low and high are the 10th and 90th model percentiles at the target date. Actual outcomes can fall outside them. Separately labeled illustrative outlooks use downside, central and upside scenarios with editorial milestone assumptions; their bounds are not calibrated probability intervals.

Why is the one-year outlook labeled unvalidated?

Enough daily price history is available to fit a one-year model, but held-out one-year validation is unavailable. Its upside, central and downside scenarios are illustrative, not calibrated probabilities. A shorter-horizon backtest does not validate this outlook.

Why do the one-year and year-end targets differ?

The one-year target is 365 days after its reference close. By-year rows are December 31 UTC closes, so the target dates can differ. The illustrative one-year and year-end targets use the same frozen simulation and saved milestone assumptions.

How do future milestones affect the forecasts?

Saved milestone assumptions adjust annual scenarios and illustrative outlooks using each event’s timing and phase-in settings. Dates and event mechanics may be sourced, but price effects are editorial assumptions. Neutral central assumptions leave the baseline unchanged; undated events and events outside the forecast window add no numerical effect. These adjustments do not alter the backtested 30-day, 90-day or one-year forecasts.

How should I judge the forecast’s accuracy?

Check the Method section and Track record where available. Backtests compare earlier forecasts with known outcomes and a simple baseline; a result for one horizon does not validate another. Historical performance does not establish future accuracy, and annual scenarios and illustrative outlooks have separate limitations.

Can this predict whether a price will be touched?

No. A terminal distribution describes prices at a target date. It does not give the probability of touching a threshold at any point before that date.

Why can the reference close differ from the current price?

Each forecast uses a frozen reference close. Current quotes can change after the run. Forecast percentage changes are measured from that reference close, not from the latest quote.

Why are some forecast horizons or sections missing?

Price targets require enough usable historical data and an available published model output. A horizon can also be paused or withheld. Sections such as annual forecasts, milestones and prediction markets are omitted when they have no published content.

Are predictions guaranteed or investment advice?

No. Model assumptions, limited historical samples and changing market conditions create substantial uncertainty. Older snapshots are labeled, and paused forecasts withhold current targets.

More price predictions

Prediction disclaimer

Forecasts are model-based scenarios, not financial advice or guarantees. Data quality, model limits and event assumptions affect results. Past performance does not predict returns; you may lose all you invest.

Ownership & affiliation

All images, branding and wording belong to Solana and their respective owners. CryptoSlate has no affiliation with the projects mentioned. This page provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes.