AI bubble burst in 2026? No 86%
Yes 14%
Tech Prediction Markets
Track tech prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for AI, software, hardware, startups, space, and major technology events.
Total Active Markets 18
Total Volume $25.04M
Open Interest $3.75M
Total Liquidity $4.07M
AI bubble burst in 2026? 
Anthropic IPO date December 31, 2026 92.5%
October 31, 2026 82.5%
October 15, 2026 56.5%
+2 more outcomes
GPT-6 release date December 31, 2026 69.5%
November 30, 2026 62%
October 31, 2026 48.5%
+3 more outcomes
Next Google Gemini Pro Model release date? No release by August 31 94.4%
August 27 2.3%
August 26 2%
+5 more outcomes
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 October 31 96.5%
September 30 92.3%
Successful splash down? 84%
+5 more outcomes
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Anthropic 49.1%
SpaceX 39.5%
OpenAI 0.6%
+9 more outcomes
OpenAI IPO date December 31, 2026 15.5%
September 30, 2026 1.4%
August 31, 2026 0.1%
OpenAI’s Astra release date? October 31 88.5%
September 30 77.5%
September 15 50.5%
+1 more outcome
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announce date? December 31, 2027 50.5%
June 30, 2027 31%
February 28, 2027 22.5%
+3 more outcomes
OpenAI valuation 2026 $1.0T 67.5%
$1.25T 47%
$1.5T 31.5%
+11 more outcomes
Best Chinese AI Company end of August? Alibaba 95.2%
Z.ai 3.5%
Bytedance 0.5%
+8 more outcomes
Largest Company end of August? NVIDIA 97.4%
Apple 2.6%
Alphabet 0.3%
+5 more outcomes