GPT Astra 6.1 Released?

Polymarket US’s “GPT Astra 6.1 Released?” event lists three release deadlines: September 30, October 31 and December 31, 2026. The September contract is already marked settled No. At the October 8 review, the source page displayed approximately 18% Yes for October and 93% Yes for December. Those prices are a snapshot of trader expectations, rather than an announcement from OpenAI or confirmation of a future launch.

What counts as a GPT Astra release?

The displayed rules require a GPT model labeled Astra and numbered 6.1 or greater. They define release as the model becoming accessible and usable to the general public without requiring special status. An open beta or open rolling waitlist can qualify, as can access for some or all paying members of the public.

A closed beta, or access confined to a closed group of testers, researchers or enterprise customers, does not qualify under that definition. The rules identify OpenAI as the outcome source. Readers should therefore distinguish a qualifying public release from rumors, a preview announcement, limited testing or a change to a differently named model.

How to interpret the deadline contracts

The listed deadlines ask whether a qualifying release occurs by a particular date. They are cumulative time windows, rather than mutually exclusive choices for the precise launch date. A release before an earlier deadline can also fall within a later window. The settled September result applies to that deadline and does not settle the later contracts.

The source’s displayed September rules specify 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on September 30, 2026. Each later contract’s own rules should be consulted for its exact deadline and settlement wording. The source page lists the overall market close date as January 1, 2027.

What the odds establish

The large gap between the October and December Yes prices indicates substantially different market pricing across the remaining windows. It does not reveal why individual traders hold those views or establish a product roadmap. A launch date, performance improvement, pricing change or rollout plan should not be inferred from these probabilities alone.

The source page may update after this review, so the quoted figures should not be treated as live odds. Volume, liquidity and open interest are not stated here because a verified snapshot of those measures was not available for this draft.

The central question is public access to the specifically named and numbered Astra model. Official OpenAI release information and the individual contract rules provide the evidence needed to assess whether that condition has been met.

Source

Polymarket US: GPT Astra 6.1 Released?