Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by…? December 31 17.5%
September 30 12.5%
August 31 6%
+1 more outcome
Politics Prediction Markets
Track politics prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for elections, leaders, policy decisions, and geopolitical events.
Total Active Markets 43
Total Volume $3.41B
Open Interest $154.99M
Total Liquidity $235.26M
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by…? 
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 95.9%
Yes 4.2%
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Gadi Eizenkot 48.9%
Benjamin Netanyahu 34.5%
Naftali Bennett 7.5%
+15 more outcomes
Putin out as President of Russia by…? June 30, 2027 16.5%
December 31, 2026 8.5%
September 30, 2026 3.2%
+1 more outcome
Iran leader end of 2026? Mojtaba Khamenei 80.4%
No Head of State 6.2%
Alireza Arafi 4.2%
+27 more outcomes
Netanyahu out by…? No 60.5%
Yes 39.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 100%
Yes 0.1%
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner Darline Graham Nordone 62.6%
Russell Fry 19.2%
Ralph Norman 15.5%
+12 more outcomes
Trump out as President before 2027? No 93.5%
Yes 6.5%
Iran military action against a gulf state on…? No 95%
Yes 5%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon date December 31 10.5%
September 30 5.2%
August 31 1.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? December 31 35.5%
September 30 13.5%
August 31 3.8%
+2 more outcomes