Iran leader end of 2026? Mojtaba Khamenei 82.8%
No Head of State 4.1%
Reza Pahlavi 3.3%
+27 more outcomes
Politics Prediction Markets
Track politics prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for elections, leaders, policy decisions, and geopolitical events.
Total Active Markets 35
Total Volume $3.45B
Open Interest $141.72M
Total Liquidity $256.97M
Iran leader end of 2026? 
North Vancouver—Capilano By-Election Winner Braeden Caley 97.6%
Stephen Curran 0.8%
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner Darline Graham Nordone 68.1%
Ralph Norman 32.5%
Nancy Mace 0.1%
+12 more outcomes
Netanyahu out by…? No 51.5%
Yes 48.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? December 31 9.5%
November 30 5.5%
October 31 3.6%
+2 more outcomes
Israel withdraws from Lebanon date December 31 9.5%
September 30 2.3%
August 31 0.6%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 70.5%
Yes 29.5%
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner United Russia (ER) 98.7%
Yabloko 0.6%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 0.4%
+5 more outcomes
Next Premier of Quebec Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 72%
Charles Milliard 16%
Christine Fréchette 11.9%
+4 more outcomes
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by…? June 30, 2027 35%
December 31 5.5%
September 30 1.7%
US charges Hormuz fees by…? December 31 5.5%
August 31 0.5%