Next French Presidential Election Marine Le Pen 29.9%
Édouard Philippe 25.5%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13.5%
+38 more outcomes
Prediction Markets Overview — a comprehensive summary
Explore prediction market data across politics, sports, crypto, finance, and more. Track probabilities, compare platforms, and follow how market expectations change over time.
Total Active Markets 117
Total Volume $4.17B
Open Interest $214.09M
Total Liquidity $358.5M
Next French Presidential Election 
Grok 4.6 release date? August 14 71%
August 7 0.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? December 31 5.5%
September 30 2.5%
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner The Odyssey 45.5%
Dune: Part Three 11.5%
Wild Horse Nine 9.5%
+16 more outcomes
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations Rebeca Grynspan 49.5%
Rafael Grossi 33.5%
Macky Sall 4%
+1 more outcome
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Date December 31 21.5%
October 31 10.5%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 54.5%
No 45.5%
Satoshi’s identity proven in 2026? No 96.5%
Yes 3.6%
What price will Ethereum hit in August? 1,900 95.5%
2,000 69.5%
1,800 56.5%
+17 more outcomes
GPT-6 release date December 31, 2026 89%
September 30, 2026 65%
August 31, 2026 17%
+3 more outcomes
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 Mayweather 51.5%
Pacquiao 48.5%
California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra 94.9%
Steve Hilton 5.2%
Chad Bianco 0.2%
+20 more outcomes