Presidential Election Winner 2028 JD Vance 20.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13.3%
Jon Ossoff 10.5%
+51 more outcomes
Prediction Markets Overview — a comprehensive summary
Explore prediction market data across politics, sports, crypto, finance, and more. Track probabilities, compare platforms, and follow how market expectations change over time.
Total Active Markets 87
Total Volume $4.66B
Open Interest $201.5M
Total Liquidity $341.04M
Presidential Election Winner 2028 
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Date December 31 10.5%
October 31 3.3%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? December 31 5.5%
October 31 1.2%
Brazil Presidential Election Flávio Bolsonaro 84.6%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 15.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…? Yes 82.5%
No 17.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? December 31 3.2%
October 31 1.1%
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner The Odyssey 49.5%
La Bola Negra 27.5%
Dune: Part Three 12%
+20 more outcomes
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 84.5%
Yes 15.5%
OpenAI IPO date June 30, 2027 40.5%
March 31, 2027 24.5%
December 31, 2026 3.8%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Democrats Sweep 64.5%
R Senate, D House 27.5%
Republicans Sweep 7.5%
+2 more outcomes
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Anthropic 52.3%
SpaceX 46.5%
OpenAI 0.6%
+9 more outcomes
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 98.8%
Yes 1.3%
