Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Date December 31 24.5%
October 31 13.5%
Predictions
Explore prediction market data across politics, sports, crypto, finance, and more. Track probabilities, compare platforms, and follow how market expectations change over time.
Total Active Markets 97
Total Volume $4.4B
Open Interest $226.67M
Total Liquidity $329.6M
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Date 
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? December 31 5.5%
September 30 2.8%
California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra 92.9%
Steve Hilton 6.2%
Chad Bianco 0.2%
+20 more outcomes
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 98.1%
Yes 2%
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner Francesca Hong 85.5%
David Crowley 8.9%
Mandela Barnes 6.5%
+10 more outcomes
GPT-6 release date December 31, 2026 88.5%
September 30, 2026 73.5%
August 31, 2026 27.5%
+4 more outcomes
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? SpaceX 85.5%
Anthropic 14.2%
OpenAI 0.8%
+9 more outcomes
What will Anthropic’s valuation hit by December 31? $1.25T 85%
$1.5T 66.5%
$1.75T 46.5%
+8 more outcomes
Venezuela leader end of 2026? Nicolás Maduro 82%
Delcy Rodríguez 11%
María Corina Machado 3.1%
+13 more outcomes
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Gavin Newsom 19.8%
Jon Ossoff 15.8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13.8%
+48 more outcomes
Fed Decision in July? No change 78.7%
25 bps increase 20%
50+ bps increase 0.7%
+2 more outcomes
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Democrats Sweep 43.5%
R Senate, D House 40.5%
Republicans Sweep 13.5%
+2 more outcomes