Satoshi’s identity be proven by…? December 31 3.7%
June 30 0.3%
Prediction Markets
Explore prediction market data across politics, sports, crypto, finance, and more. Track probabilities, compare platforms, and follow how market expectations change over time.
Total Active Markets 52
Total Volume $6.75B
Open Interest $215.99M
Total Liquidity $785.77M
Satoshi’s identity be proven by…? 
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by…? December 31 9.5%
September 30 6.7%
June 30 1.1%
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? Democratic 58.5%
Republican 40.5%
Presidential Election Winner 2028 JD Vance 20.1%
Gavin Newsom 15.2%
Marco Rubio 13.7%
+34 more outcomes
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? SpaceX 85.5%
Anthropic 13.1%
OpenAI 1.7%
+9 more outcomes
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? ↓ 60,000 97.8%
↓ 55,000 78%
↑ 70,000 69.5%
+29 more outcomes