Polymarket

New York targets crypto with new $3.4B fines as perpetual futures turn prediction apps into nonstop leverage casinos

Perps replace one off event contracts with always on leverage and margin calls, raising the stakes for regulators and users.

3 weeks ago

Analysis Neutral

Polymarket’s stablecoin launch looks bearish for USDC, but the real shift runs deeper

Polymarket’s new token may not cut USDC demand, but it could make that demand harder to see and easier to misread.

1 month ago

Crowd entering a packed stadium beside a sports prediction kiosk highlights how booming demand for betting markets could strain and destabilize the industry

Analysis Bearish

The bets that made crypto prediction markets popular now targeted by ban threat

A national fight is now underway over whether sports prediction markets are federally regulated derivatives or unlicensed gambling platforms. The answer could determine not just who regulates them, but whether their current growth model survives at all.

2 months ago

Analysis Neutral

Iran war bets turned Polymarket and Kalshi into the next fight over what people should be allowed to trade

Wall Street likes platforms that can monetize attention, but Washington tends to notice once that attention turns into incentives around the wrong topics.

2 months ago

Cracked crystal ball in front of the U.S. Capitol and American flag, symbolizing a lawmaker’s push to ban prediction markets

Technology Neutral

$679M bet on Iran war sparks Washington crackdown on crypto prediction markets

Prediction markets face scrutiny as lawmakers push to eliminate contracts on military and government actions.

2 months ago

Bull coin striking wet pavement beside a crystal ball on Wall Street, symbolizing the return of all-or-nothing options and rising prediction market-style trading

Analysis Neutral

Wall Street tries to copy crypto’s prediction markets as Cboe files for “Yes/No” options

If Cboe pulls this off, probability trading stops being crypto-native and goes fully mainstream.

3 months ago

Hooded hacker on a stormy pier uses a laptop near a cracked crystal ball and dangling crypto coin, symbolizing prediction markets’ Web2.5 login security flaw

Market Neutral

Crypto finds $64B product market fit in 2025 but reliance on centralized logins has created a critical security flaw

Mainstream adoption of prediction markets raises systemic trust challenges and highlights ambiguities in resolution mechanisms for crypto platforms.

3 months ago

CFTC seal outside a government building as Tennessee officials and traders argue on the steps, symbolizing the clash over who regulates prediction markets and refunds

Regulation

Kalshi and Polymarket face a “sports gambling” probe that could void your trades and shut down the market

Prediction markets say they’re federally regulated finance; Tennessee says they’re unlicensed sports betting.

4 months ago

A glowing crystal ball sits atop a ledge overlooking a city skyline at sunset, displaying a rising and falling price chart with the words “YES” in blue and “NO” in red beneath it, symbolizing prediction-market trading.

Analysis

TradFi brokers to offer crypto prediction markets, but with sports betting blocked locally

The next time you open your brokerage app, you might see questions instead of tickers.

5 months ago

A dramatic globe shows conflict zones highlighted in red with arrows tracing troop movements across the Middle East and Eastern Europe, while Polymarket logos float above, symbolizing prediction markets intersecting with humanitarian crisis maps.

Analysis

How Polymarket war betting is putting civilians at risk by disrupting humanitarian aid maps

A volunteer war map built to guide evacuations now sits in Polymarket rulebooks as an oracle for gambling on captured cities.

5 months ago

Daylight, photorealistic plaza scene shows matte Kalshi and Polymarket logos on opposing pedestals beside a tilted balance scale, rising green bars, and a valuation gauge to suggest Kalshi’s $5B milestone turning up competitive pressure.

Investments

Why Kalshi’s $5B valuation puts Polymarket on notice

Prediction markets have become Wall Street’s newest battleground, with Kalshi betting on regulation and Polymarket betting on decentralization—and both racing to turn real-world events into tradeable assets.

7 months ago

A bright, cinematic 16:9 scene of the U.S. Capitol under dynamic teal-and-gold skies with a glowing amber traffic light, faceless figures, and an oversized hourglass between polished bronze bull and bear statues, all wrapped by diagonal yellow caution ribbons and floating red-green market chart lines to evoke breath-held tension without any text.

Market

The odds of U.S. government shutdown are at an all-time high as the markets hold their breath

U.S. government shutdown odds hit record highs as political stalemate deepens, prompting volatility in financial and crypto markets.

8 months ago