Polymarket

Legacy sportsbooks are chasing prediction markets that already trade billions each month

DraftKings disclosed billions in new prediction market activity this week, which is impressive until you realize the market it's chasing collects more in monthly fees than most sportsbooks make in a quarter.

6 days ago

Trading

World Cup prediction markets hit $2B before kickoff as Spain and France go head to head

Prediction markets and exchanges are racing to capture World Cup demand as sports becomes a central growth channel for event contracts.

1 week ago

Trading Bearish

Why a $150M Polymarket bet could pay the side that appeared to lose

“Yes” traders say Strategy’s filing proves they were right. The market’s resolution system may still pay the other side.

2 weeks ago

Analysis

How a disputed $1 billion claim became a powerful weapon against prediction markets

America’s gambling lobby says that prediction markets are draining public money from states and tribes, as US gambling revenue hits record highs.

3 weeks ago

Analysis

What happens when crypto traders can bet on CPI, Fed cuts, and oil 24/7?

Crypto exchanges and prediction markets are turning real-world events into tradable products faster than legal frameworks can define them.

3 weeks ago

Technology

New York targets crypto with new $3.4B fines as perpetual futures turn prediction apps into nonstop leverage casinos

Perps replace one off event contracts with always on leverage and margin calls, raising the stakes for regulators and users.

2 months ago

Analysis

Polymarket’s stablecoin launch looks bearish for USDC, but the real shift runs deeper

Polymarket’s new token may not cut USDC demand, but it could make that demand harder to see and easier to misread.

2 months ago

Crowd entering a packed stadium beside a sports prediction kiosk highlights how booming demand for betting markets could strain and destabilize the industry

Analysis Bearish

The bets that made crypto prediction markets popular now targeted by ban threat

A national fight is now underway over whether sports prediction markets are federally regulated derivatives or unlicensed gambling platforms. The answer could determine not just who regulates them, but whether their current growth model survives at all.

3 months ago

Analysis

Iran war bets turned Polymarket and Kalshi into the next fight over what people should be allowed to trade

Wall Street likes platforms that can monetize attention, but Washington tends to notice once that attention turns into incentives around the wrong topics.

3 months ago

Cracked crystal ball in front of the U.S. Capitol and American flag, symbolizing a lawmaker’s push to ban prediction markets

Technology

$679M bet on Iran war sparks Washington crackdown on crypto prediction markets

Prediction markets face scrutiny as lawmakers push to eliminate contracts on military and government actions.

3 months ago

Bull coin striking wet pavement beside a crystal ball on Wall Street, symbolizing the return of all-or-nothing options and rising prediction market-style trading

Analysis

Wall Street tries to copy crypto’s prediction markets as Cboe files for “Yes/No” options

If Cboe pulls this off, probability trading stops being crypto-native and goes fully mainstream.

4 months ago

Market

Crypto finds $64B product market fit in 2025 but reliance on centralized logins has created a critical security flaw

Mainstream adoption of prediction markets raises systemic trust challenges and highlights ambiguities in resolution mechanisms for crypto platforms.

4 months ago

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Polymarket

Legacy sportsbooks are chasing prediction markets that already trade billions each month

World Cup prediction markets hit $2B before kickoff as Spain and France go head to head

Why a $150M Polymarket bet could pay the side that appeared to lose

How a disputed $1 billion claim became a powerful weapon against prediction markets

What happens when crypto traders can bet on CPI, Fed cuts, and oil 24/7?

New York targets crypto with new $3.4B fines as perpetual futures turn prediction apps into nonstop leverage casinos

Polymarket’s stablecoin launch looks bearish for USDC, but the real shift runs deeper

The bets that made crypto prediction markets popular now targeted by ban threat

Iran war bets turned Polymarket and Kalshi into the next fight over what people should be allowed to trade

$679M bet on Iran war sparks Washington crackdown on crypto prediction markets

Wall Street tries to copy crypto’s prediction markets as Cboe files for “Yes/No” options

Crypto finds $64B product market fit in 2025 but reliance on centralized logins has created a critical security flaw