Derivatives
Most world cup traders won less than $5 on Polymarket while FIVE wallets walked away with millions
Polymarket and Kalshi captured record sports activity, but only 54 Polymarket addresses collected nearly 60% of all gains.
Polymarket
Latest stories
Censorship
France blocked Polymarket after its transaction controls failed to stop 578,751 new French visitors
ANJ cited Similarweb estimates after operator-level controls were circumvented in practice while the platform's live odds remained visible.
Trading
Hyperliquid challenges Polymarket with $32 million opening for prediction-market builders
The HIP-4 framework could accelerate prediction-market listings, though prospective operators must lock 500,000 HYPE tokens.
Exchanges
Coinbase World Cup error shows prediction markets still have a proof problem
A disputed Coinbase sports alert shows why exchange-run prediction markets need visible provenance, verified event data, and clear accountability before automated content scales inside trading apps.
Sports
Crypto bettors believe Balogun’s suspended red card will give USA edge over Belgium
Polymarket and Kalshi traders price the American striker’s return as a narrow boost before the World Cup knockout match
Trading
Polymarket’s $3.3B World Cup boom exposes the longshot trap inside prediction markets
Traders are pricing a possible rematch of the 2022 final, even as billions in historical volume remain scattered across longshot teams.
Adoption
Charles Schwab prediction market partnership with Cboe to take traders away from Polymarket, Kalshi
Schwab’s reported Cboe work shows how S&P 500 outcome trades could move from crypto rails into brokerage accounts.
Trading
Three World Cup betting accounts won $24M. Why did the money all go to one Binance address?
The accounts won most of their settled bets, stopped trading, and left behind a cashout trail that points to one Binance address.
Analysis
Legacy sportsbooks are chasing prediction markets that already trade billions each month
DraftKings disclosed billions in new prediction market activity this week, which is impressive until you realize the market it's chasing collects more in monthly fees than most sportsbooks make in a quarter.
Trading
World Cup prediction markets hit $2B before kickoff as Spain and France go head to head
Prediction markets and exchanges are racing to capture World Cup demand as sports becomes a central growth channel for event contracts.
Trading
Why a $150M Polymarket bet could pay the side that appeared to lose
“Yes” traders say Strategy’s filing proves they were right. The market’s resolution system may still pay the other side.
Analysis
How a disputed $1 billion claim became a powerful weapon against prediction markets
America’s gambling lobby says that prediction markets are draining public money from states and tribes, as US gambling revenue hits record highs.