Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? August 31 7.7%
July 31 2.3%
Iran Prediction Markets
Track Iran prediction markets with live odds, market volume, liquidity, leadership outcomes, nuclear deal and blockade risk signals, and CryptoSlate market analysis.
Total Active Markets 100
Total Volume $4.34B
Open Interest $209.4M
Total Liquidity $300.23M
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? 
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…? December 31 13.5%
October 31 6.5%
August 31 4.1%
+1 more outcome
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 71.5%
Yes 28.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire date August 31 47.5%
August 14 35.5%
July 31 17.5%
+1 more outcome
Iran leader end of 2026? Mojtaba Khamenei 72.9%
No Head of State 7.4%
Reza Pahlavi 4.5%
+27 more outcomes
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 99.1%
Yes 1%
Iran military action against a gulf state on…? July 23 66%
July 25 64.5%
July 24 63%
+8 more outcomes
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? December 31 31.5%
September 30 13.5%
August 31 7.5%
+3 more outcomes
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations date August 31 61.5%
August 15 38.5%
July 31 23.5%
+1 more outcome
US charges Hormuz fees by…? December 31 8%
August 31 2.1%
July 31 0.6%