Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? August 31 6.4%
July 31 1%
Iran Prediction Markets
Track Iran prediction markets with live odds, market volume, liquidity, leadership outcomes, nuclear deal and blockade risk signals, and CryptoSlate market analysis.
Total Active Markets 97
Total Volume $4.41B
Open Interest $233.19M
Total Liquidity $332.06M
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? 
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…? December 31 12.5%
October 31 6.5%
August 31 3.6%
+1 more outcome
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 79.5%
Yes 20.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire date August 31 72%
August 14 59%
July 31 53.5%
+1 more outcome
Iran leader end of 2026? Mojtaba Khamenei 79%
No Head of State 6%
Reza Pahlavi 3.6%
+27 more outcomes
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 99.5%
Yes 0.6%
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations date August 31 70%
August 15 60.5%
July 31 43%
Iran military action against a gulf state on…? July 31 17.5%
July 29 16%
July 30 15.5%
+6 more outcomes
US charges Hormuz fees by…? December 31 10.5%
August 31 2.4%
July 31 0.4%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? December 31 31.5%
September 30 16.5%
August 31 6.5%
+3 more outcomes