Aave valve tightens USDe borrowing flow as red arrows and five market labels signal rising rates across Aave V3 deployments.
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Rising Aave borrow rates threaten to flip Ethena’s USDe yield loops into negative carry

The proposed curve change adds 13 to 89 basis points across a $323.8 million debt snapshot for USDe positions.

Quick Take

  1. LlamaRisk proposed raising USDe base borrowing rates across five Aave V3 markets, while reducing Slope1 by one percentage point.
  2. The modeled changes add 13 to 89 basis points across $323.8 million in debt, pressuring leveraged sUSDe yield loops.
  3. Borrow APRs already exceed sUSDe’s 4.72% supply APY, but actual costs will shift with utilization and Risk Steward implementation.

LlamaRisk has proposed increasing borrowing costs for Ethena’s USDe across five Aave V3 markets, tightening the economics for positions that borrow the stablecoin and recycle it into yield-bearing sUSDe.

The Sept. 9 recommendation would increase USDe’s base variable borrow rate from 5% to 6% on Core, Plasma, Monad, Mantle, and Avalanche. It would also reduce Slope1 by one percentage point on every deployment.

At the utilization levels captured in the proposal, modeled borrower APRs would rise by 13 to 89 basis points across markets holding about $323.8 million of USDe debt against $1.18 billion supplied.

Aave V3 marketUtilizationCurrent borrow APRProposed borrow APRIncrease
Core32.3%5.72%6.36%64 bps
Plasma22.4%5.79%6.53%74 bps
Monad17.2%5.57%6.38%81 bps
Mantle9.0%5.32%6.21%89 bps
Avalanche69.9%6.75%6.87%13 bps
Aave USDe Rate Reset
Infographic compares projected Aave USDe borrowing rates across Core, Plasma, Monad, Mantle and Avalanche after proposed base-rate and Slope1 changes.

LlamaRisk framed the changes as recommendations and said they would be implemented through the Risk Steward process.

The increase is not uniform because the proposal changes two parts of the rate curve at once. The higher base pushes borrowing costs up, while the lower Slope1 offsets part of that move at each reserve’s utilization.

Avalanche, the most heavily utilized market in the snapshot, gets the largest offset and a 13-basis-point increase. Mantle, with the lowest utilization, absorbs nearly the full base-rate rise.

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The change targets leveraged sUSDe positions. TokenLogic’s staged repricing program described borrowers recycling USDe into sUSDe to capture the spread between staking yield and Aave’s borrowing cost.

The program argued that a higher borrowing floor should reduce those loops and could lift the yield available to remaining sUSDe holders toward 5.3%, but only as loop-funded supply unwinds.

By Sept. 10, Aavescan’s sUSDe snapshot showed a 4.72% supply APY. Its Core, Plasma, and Monad market pages displayed USDe borrow APRs above that level. The Mantle and Avalanche pages did as well, leaving a simple borrow-and-stake loop with negative carry before incentives, transaction costs, and other frictions.

Borrower rates can change as utilization moves, so the proposal’s market-level APRs describe the modeled effect at the captured Sept. 9 conditions rather than fixed costs.

$1.00 Unchanged 0.00% over 24 hours
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Ethena USDe is 0.00% over the past 24 hours and currently sits at rank #17 by market cap.

Market cap $4.6B
Volume (24h) $79.6M Up 2.18%
Circ. supply 4.6B
FDV $4.6B
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Related Asset Ethena USDe USDE · Stablecoin