Macro
Bitcoin’s next risk is hiding in the gap between debt and liquidity
US debt is growing faster than M2, leaving Bitcoin trapped between a bullish liquidity thesis and tighter market plumbing that keeps capping risk.
Gino Matos 6 min read
Macro News
Read macro-driven crypto news linking Bitcoin and digital assets to rates, inflation, liquidity, geopolitics, and global markets.
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Market
Bitcoin is surging when oil goes up but only when the US stock market is closed
Bitcoin rose with crude oil while US equities were closed, then reversed as the S&P 500 fell, leaving flows, oil, and Fed risk in conflict.
Analysis
Bitcoin heads into Fed decision today at the exact price where its strongest holders may finally sell
Bitcoin is one Fed decision away from finding out whether its $80,000 rally has conviction or just relief.
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Macro
Wall Street’s ‘Sell in May’ rule is breaking, but Bitcoin still faces one key risk
The old summer sell signal looks weaker, but Bitcoin still needs inflation, jobs, and Fed data to hold the risk-on case.
Analysis
Bitcoin’s rally has one big macro hurdle before $80K can hold
A break in 10-year Treasury yields could decide whether Bitcoin clears $80,000 or turns another inflow streak into a failed rally.
Analysis
Bitcoin inflows are back above $1B, but the Fed may decide if the rally holds
Three straight billion-dollar inflow weeks show demand is returning, but Bitcoin still needs the Fed and spot buyers to cooperate.
Analysis
This week Bitcoin will face major volatility across a key 48 hour period: Fed first, GDP and PCE right after
Bitcoin faces a 48-hour macro trap as the Fed speaks first, but GDP and PCE get the last word.
ETF
Bitcoin ETFs hit the longest inflow streak of the year in bullish setup for a major recovery
Institutional investors have channeled more than $2 billion into Bitcoin ETFs as traders increasingly position for a breakout above $80,000.
Analysis
The Fed is cornered in rates decision with just days before its next meeting — what that means for Bitcoin
A fresh oil shock has put Bitcoin on collision course with a higher-for-longer Fed just as traders were betting on relief later this year.
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Analysis
Ethereum’s 4 consecutive weeks of price rallies fuel bullish bets of $3200
Analysis
Bitcoin ends week resilient around $78,000 as Trump’s new rhetoric sent oil price back above $100
Macro
Bitcoin’s loses $78k while the US markets sleeps – risk takes over from oil as crude prices stay flat
Analysis