What price will Hyperliquid hit in November?
Current Odds
Target price
9 more outcomes Listed by target price, highest first
Odds Summary
Below 68 leads at 57% reported probability on Polymarket.
Polymarket · Last synced
Market Analysis
Hyperliquid November market tracks price touches, not a closing target
The HYPE contracts use Binance one-minute candle highs or lows, with separate rules for the qualifying window of each threshold.
The November 2026 Hyperliquid event on Polymarket lists separate contracts for upward and downward price thresholds. In the imported snapshot reviewed on November 7, the outcome labeled Below 76 carried a quoted Yes probability of 53.5%. That quote is a market snapshot, rather than a confirmed threshold hit or a forecast of the final November closing price.
What counts as hitting a threshold?
The source rules use finalized Binance one-minute candles for the HYPEUSDT futures instrument. An upward contract requires a candle High at or above its specified level. A downward contract requires a candle Low at or below its specified level. An intraminute price excursion can therefore matter even if the candle closes back inside that level; the relevant measure is its final High or Low, not its closing price.
Check the qualifying window for each contract
The event covers November 2026, with the rules ending at 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on November 30. The imported event timestamp is December 1, 2026, at 05:00 UTC. Individual contracts do not all use identical starting language. Some cover the full month from midnight ET on November 1; others start at that contract’s creation and expressly exclude earlier price action.
This distinction matters for thresholds added after November began. A price reached earlier in the month cannot automatically be used to settle a later-created contract. Each threshold’s own creation time and full rules must be checked before treating a historical print as qualifying.
Several outcomes can resolve Yes
These are separate touch conditions rather than mutually exclusive destinations. A sufficiently wide trading range could satisfy an upward threshold and a downward threshold in the same month. Multiple thresholds on the same side can also qualify if price reaches them during their respective eligible windows.
It would therefore be misleading to add every displayed Yes probability as if the outcomes formed one distribution of month-end prices. It would also be misleading to assume that a high quote on a downward threshold rules out an upward touch. The contracts describe paths over time, with potentially different starting dates.
The specified Binance market controls settlement
The rules identify Binance HYPEUSDT futures, available on the Binance futures page. HYPE prices from the Hyperliquid venue or a spot market do not substitute for that futures reference. The one-minute chart setting and the appropriate High or Low field are essential when checking a candidate touch.
How to read the November odds
The 53.5% snapshot for Below 76 expresses pricing for that particular condition. It does not establish Hyperliquid’s current price, explain why traders chose a position, or confirm a future catalyst. Previously settled thresholds should also be distinguished from open contracts when reviewing the event.
Price moves and market quotes can change after this review. A settlement assessment should pair the exact threshold, its eligible time window and its status with the finalized candle data named by the source. Claims about fund flows, forced selling, protocol developments or broader economic causes require separate evidence and are not inferred from the threshold ladder here.
Sources
Polymarket: What price will Hyperliquid hit in November?
Binance settlement reference
What Could Move the Odds?
Market-Implied Thesis
The market marginally implies Hyperliquid is more likely than not to touch 76 during November, rather than remain above that downside threshold.
The 54% price on ↓76 is the highest listed probability, but nearby upside levels remain close to even odds, indicating a threshold-touch view rather than a decisive directional consensus.
What Could Reprice It
Realized Hyperliquid price action through the rest of November is the key repricing driver, because each outcome depends on whether its threshold is touched.
The market remains open until December 1, 2026 at 5:00 AM UTC. A move toward any listed level can alter its binary hit probability quickly, especially for thresholds clustered around 72–84.
Where the Market May Be Weak
Modest displayed volume and open interest limit how strongly this ladder can be read as a broad market view, particularly without a reported trader count.
$1.95K of volume and $1.9K of open interest are small relative to the number of closely spaced outcomes. The reported 24-hour changes may therefore reflect limited participation rather than durable information.
Counter-Signal
The downside-76 reading could fail because upside thresholds are nearly as likely: 84 is priced at 52% and 80 at 51%.
Those near-even upside probabilities weaken any interpretation that the market expects a clearly one-way decline. The ladder instead supports substantial odds of price movement reaching levels above the central range.
Market Details
- Resolution criteria
- What price will Hyperliquid hit in November?
- Platform
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- Category
- Crypto › Hyperliquid
- Scheduled deadline
- December 1, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
- Settlement source
- binance.com
- Market rules summary
- Multi-timeframe Polymarket event. Each listed timeframe is represented by its Yes price on the underlying binary market. View full rules
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current What price will Hyperliquid hit in November odds?
Polymarket reports What price will Hyperliquid hit in November odds with ↓ 68 at 57%, ↑ 76 at 50.5%, ↓ 64 at 44.5%, and ↑ 80 at 43.5%. These probabilities are market-implied and can change as liquidity and trading activity update. The latest market snapshot includes $3.84K volume, $26.42K liquidity, and $2.66K open interest. CryptoSlate last synced this market data at Nov 11, 2026, 04:52 UTC.
What could move the What price will Hyperliquid hit in November prediction market odds?
The market marginally implies Hyperliquid is more likely than not to touch 76 during November, rather than remain above that downside threshold. The 54% price on ↓76 is the highest listed probability, but nearby upside levels remain close to even odds, indicating a threshold-touch view rather than a decisive directional consensus. Catalysts to watch include November price moves before the December 1 market close, Threshold touches through November, and Additional participation before close.
How does the What price will Hyperliquid hit in November prediction market resolve?
What price will Hyperliquid hit in November? Multi-timeframe Polymarket event. Each listed timeframe is represented by its Yes price on the underlying binary market. The settlement source listed for this market is binance.com.
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