Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by…? December 31 20.5%
September 30 14.5%
August 31 7.5%
+1 more outcome
Politics Prediction Markets
Track politics prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for elections, leaders, policy decisions, and geopolitical events.
Total Active Markets 42
Total Volume $3.51B
Open Interest $155.26M
Total Liquidity $227.9M
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by…? 
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Gadi Eizenkot 52.5%
Benjamin Netanyahu 33.5%
Naftali Bennett 6.5%
+15 more outcomes
Iran leader end of 2026? Mojtaba Khamenei 79.6%
No Head of State 6%
Reza Pahlavi 3.5%
+27 more outcomes
Netanyahu out by…? December 31 43.5%
July 31 0.5%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 95.6%
Yes 4.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 99.5%
Yes 0.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by…? June 30, 2027 15.5%
December 31, 2026 8.5%
September 30, 2026 4.2%
+2 more outcomes
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner Darline Graham Nordone 74.2%
Ralph Norman 20%
Russell Fry 5.5%
+11 more outcomes
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations date August 31 70.5%
August 15 62%
July 31 37.5%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 92.5%
Yes 7.5%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon date December 31 10.5%
September 30 5.5%
August 31 2.8%
+1 more outcome
Iran military action against a gulf state on…? July 31 16.5%
July 23 15.5%
July 30 15.5%
+6 more outcomes