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Bitcoin’s next move now runs through Treasury yields, oil pressure, and Fed liquidity as markets test whether risk demand can hold near resistance.
Liam 'Akiba' Wright 9 min read 
The Fed held rates steady as Powell warned that higher energy prices are pushing inflation back up, and Glassnode says Bitcoin is now stuck below its True Market Mean at roughly $79,000.
US debt is growing faster than M2, leaving Bitcoin trapped between a bullish liquidity thesis and tighter market plumbing that keeps capping risk.
New moves in Israel and Pakistan test whether crypto can move beyond exposure and into local money, banking, and payments.
Bitcoin rose with crude oil while US equities were closed, then reversed as the S&P 500 fell, leaving flows, oil, and Fed risk in conflict.
Bitcoin is one Fed decision away from finding out whether its $80,000 rally has conviction or just relief.
The old summer sell signal looks weaker, but Bitcoin still needs inflation, jobs, and Fed data to hold the risk-on case.
A break in 10-year Treasury yields could decide whether Bitcoin clears $80,000 or turns another inflow streak into a failed rally.
Wood's latest comments pointed out that Bitcoin is no longer being driven by the old crypto-native script.
