Politics Iran

US x Iran permanent peace deal by…?

Ended Dec 31, 2026, 00:00 UTC

June 15
Yes
June 30
Yes
July 31
Yes
August 31
Yes
October 31
Yes
December 31
Yes
11 more outcomes Other final results
  • April 22
    No
  • April 24
    No
  • April 30
    No
  • May 8
    No
  • May 11
    No
  • May 13
    No
  • May 15
    No
  • May 22
    No
  • May 26
    No
  • May 31
    No
  • June 7
    No

Market resolution

This US x Iran permanent peace deal by… prediction market is settled. The percentages above are the final outcome probabilities reported by Polymarket.

Final volume$478.91M Reported open interest$109.06M Final syncJun 18, 2026 1:53 am

Final probabilities, volume, and open interest are sourced from Polymarket and were last synced at Jun 18, 2026 1:53 am.

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Market details

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Platform
Category
Politics › Iran
Close date
December 31, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Market rules summary
Multi-timeframe Polymarket event. Each listed timeframe is represented by its Yes price on the underlying binary market. View full rules

Frequently asked questions

What was the final result of the US x Iran permanent peace deal by… prediction market?

Polymarket reports the US x Iran permanent peace deal by… prediction market as closed. The final snapshot shows June 15 at 100%, June 30 at 100%, July 31 at 100%, and August 31 at 100%. The final market snapshot includes $478.91M volume and $109.06M open interest. CryptoSlate last synced the final market data at Jun 18, 2026, 00:53 UTC.

How does the US x Iran permanent peace deal by… prediction market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Multi-timeframe Polymarket event. Each listed timeframe is represented by its Yes price on the underlying binary market.