UK social media ban in effect by…? June 30, 2027 56%
December 31, 2026 25.5%
Polymarket Prediction Markets
Browse active prediction markets from Polymarket, track current probabilities, and compare outcomes across the platform.
Total Active Markets 53
Total Volume $6.77B
Open Interest $217.83M
Total Liquidity $794.17M
UK social media ban in effect by…? 
Portugal vs. DR Congo Draw (Portugal vs. DR Congo) 100%
DR Congo 0%
Portugal 0%
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30? No 79%
Yes 21%
Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30? 45%+ 12%
50%+ 10.5%
55%+ 1.5%
France vs. Senegal France 100%
Senegal 0%
Draw (France vs. Senegal) 0%
Which company has best AI model end of June? Anthropic 98.2%
Google 0.7%
OpenAI 0.5%
+12 more outcomes
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…? June 14 100%
June 15 100%
June 16 100%
+20 more outcomes
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by…? December 31 25.5%
October 31 15%
June 30 0.6%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde Draw (Spain vs. Cabo Verde) 100%
Spain 0%
Cabo Verde 0%
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…? December 31 95%
August 31 94%
July 31 87.5%
+2 more outcomes
California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra 89.5%
Steve Hilton 8.4%
Chad Bianco 0.2%
+20 more outcomes
United States vs. Paraguay United States 100%
Draw (United States vs. Paraguay) 0%
Paraguay 0%