September Inflation US – Monthly
Final Results
Scheduled deadline: Oct 15, 2026, 03:59 UTC
4 more outcomes Other final results
Market Resolution
Polymarket reports 0.6% as the winning outcome for the September Inflation US – Monthly prediction market with a final probability of 100%. Scheduled deadline: Oct 15, 2026, 03:59 UTC. Final reported trading volume was $97.59K.
Polymarket · Final sync
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US recession 2026 
What will US annual inflation be in October 2026? Market Analysis
September inflation market favors a 0.6% monthly CPI increase
The leading outcomes cluster around 0.5% and 0.6%, but market prices do not establish the result of the September CPI report.
The September 2026 US monthly inflation market assigns the largest quoted probability to a 0.6% increase, followed by 0.5%. In the reviewed snapshot, those outcomes were approximately 45% and 36%, respectively. These figures describe trader pricing, not an official inflation reading.
What the market measures
The question concerns the one-month change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, for September 2026. It should not be confused with annual inflation or a core inflation measure. The market offers separate outcomes from 0.0% or below through 0.8% or above.
How to interpret the odds
The leading outcome remains below 50%, so the distribution leaves substantial room for other results. Prices can change before the report. The displayed odds alone do not reveal why traders favor a particular reading or establish that energy, housing or any other component caused that view.
The imported market closes on October 15, 2026, at 03:59 UTC. Review the source market’s settlement rules and the official CPI release together when assessing the outcome. A forecast or preliminary commentary is not a substitute for the settlement figure.
Source
Market Details
- Resolution criteria
- This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
- Platform
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- Category
- Economy › Inflation
- Scheduled deadline
- October 15, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
- Settlement source
- bls.gov
- Market rules summary
- Multi-outcome Polymarket event. Each listed option is represented by its Yes price on the underlying market. View full rules
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final result of the September Inflation US – Monthly prediction market?
Polymarket reports 0.6% as the winning outcome for the September Inflation US – Monthly prediction market with a final probability of 100%. The final market snapshot includes $97.59K volume and $42.23K open interest. CryptoSlate last synced the final market data at Oct 14, 2026, 14:42 UTC.
How does the September Inflation US – Monthly prediction market resolve?
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Multi-outcome Polymarket event. Each listed option is represented by its Yes price on the underlying market. The settlement source listed for this market is Bls.
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