Satoshi’s identity proven in 2026? No 97.1%
Yes 3%
Polymarket Prediction Markets
Track Polymarket prediction markets with live odds, market volume, liquidity, open interest, outcome probabilities, platform signals, and CryptoSlate market analysis.
Total Active Markets 106
Total Volume $4.4B
Open Interest $222.27M
Total Liquidity $365.14M
Satoshi’s identity proven in 2026? 
Presidential Election Winner 2028 JD Vance 23.3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14.2%
Marco Rubio 10.8%
+49 more outcomes
Next French Presidential Election Marine Le Pen 32.9%
Édouard Philippe 24.5%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14.5%
+38 more outcomes
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations Rebeca Grynspan 37.5%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 22.2%
Rafael Grossi 16.5%
+5 more outcomes
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? December 31 3.9%
September 30 1.7%
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Date December 31 17.5%
October 31 8.5%
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner The Odyssey 54.5%
Dune: Part Three 14.5%
Wild Horse Nine 9.5%
+16 more outcomes
GPT-6 release date December 31, 2026 70%
November 30, 2026 55%
October 31, 2026 49%
+3 more outcomes
Next Google Gemini Pro Model release date? No release by August 31 94%
August 27 2.5%
August 26 1.1%
+5 more outcomes
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 October 31 96.3%
September 30 92.3%
Successful splash down? 84%
+5 more outcomes
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 98.2%
Yes 1.9%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? SpaceX 57%
Anthropic 40.6%
OpenAI 0.7%
+9 more outcomes