Wall Street is now pricing in a terminal rate of 5.25-5.50, after hot PCE data, BTC down over 3%

Wall Street is now pricing in another 25 bps hike, in addition to the 50 BPS remaining, taking fed funds rate to 5.25-5.50

This article was published 3 years ago. Some details may no longer reflect current market conditions or recent developments. If you spot anything that needs an update, contact us.
Make preferred on Google logo

Quick Take

  • Bitcoin is down -3.31% on Feb. 24 due to a hotter than expected PCE data. 
  • Traditional assets are also down on the day, which includes SPX (-0.22%), XAUUSD (-0.75%), and Nasdaq (-2.00%).
  • Wall Street is now pricing another 25 bps hike, in addition to the 50 bps remaining, due to today's PCE.
  • This would take the federal funds rate to 5.25 – 5.50% for the end of 2023, a total of 75 bps remaining.
Fund Funds probability: (Source: CME Fed Watch Tool)
Fund Funds probability: (Source: CME Fed Watch Tool)
Assets: (tradingView)
Assets: (tradingView)