Bitcoin bull run traced to ‘smart money’ as 40% of total supply held for over three years

The open secret to Bitcoin's success may be that that up to 40% of its supply has been locked down by 'smart money.'

This article was published 3 years ago. Some details may no longer reflect current market conditions or recent developments. If you spot anything that needs an update, contact us.
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Quick Take

The onset of the massive Bitcoin bull run can be traced back to September 2020, a period marked by significant price accumulation followed by a monumental ascent from $10k to $60k. The data uncovers notable trends within the Bitcoin supply dynamics. Particularly, the supply that has been held for over three years has reached an unprecedented pinnacle, accounting for a substantial 40% of the total supply.

This is suggestive of a parabolic run, which is often indicative of movements by the so-called “smart money.” These long-term holders, seemingly equipped with foresight, may have anticipated the global expansion of central bank balance sheets, stimulus measures, and the implications of COVID-19 lockdowns on asset prices.

Supply Last Active 3+: (Source: Glassnode)
Supply Last Active 3+: (Source: Glassnode)