Satoshi’s identity be proven by…? December 31 3.7%
June 30 0.3%
Polymarket Prediction Markets
Browse active prediction markets from Polymarket, track current probabilities, and compare outcomes across the platform.
Total Active Markets 52
Total Volume $6.74B
Open Interest $214.98M
Total Liquidity $772.8M
Satoshi’s identity be proven by…? 
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by…? December 31 9.5%
September 30 5.5%
June 30 1.3%
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? Democratic 58.5%
Republican 40.5%
Presidential Election Winner 2028 JD Vance 20.1%
Gavin Newsom 15.2%
Marco Rubio 13.7%
+34 more outcomes
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? SpaceX 85.5%
Anthropic 13.3%
OpenAI 1.7%
+9 more outcomes
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? ↓ 60,000 94.5%
↓ 55,000 76.5%
↑ 70,000 71%
+29 more outcomes