Next Claude Opus: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut? 50%+ 99.2%
35%+ 98.8%
45%+ 98.7%
+2 more outcomes
Tech Prediction Markets
Track tech prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for AI, software, hardware, startups, space, and major technology events.
Total Active Markets 19
Total Volume $18.66M
Open Interest $2.56M
Total Liquidity $3.49M
Next Claude Opus: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut? 
Grok 4.6 release date? August 14 71%
August 7 0.3%
OpenAI’s Astra release date? October 31 93%
September 30 87.2%
September 15 49.5%
+2 more outcomes
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September? Anthropic 54.5%
OpenAI 31.5%
Meta 4.4%
+18 more outcomes
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 October 31 98.8%
September 30 93.5%
Super Heavy booster explodes? 87%
+6 more outcomes
Best Chinese AI Company end of August? Alibaba 89.5%
Z.ai 4.8%
Moonshot 3.6%
+8 more outcomes
Next Google Gemini Pro Model release date? No release by August 31 36.8%
August 27 9.8%
August 17 6.1%
+23 more outcomes
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announce date? December 31 17.5%
September 30 5.1%
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August? Anthropic 80.5%
OpenAI 17.7%
Meta 2.6%
+15 more outcomes
OpenAI Product Announcement in 2026 Clip-on device for clothing 16%
Ring 15%
Necklace 13.5%
+7 more outcomes
Next Mythos-Class Model release date September 30 63.5%
September 15 44.5%
August 31 17.5%
OpenAI IPO date December 31, 2026 15%
September 30, 2026 2.7%
August 31, 2026 0.6%