AI Prediction Markets

Track AI prediction markets with live odds, market volume, liquidity, top AI model and company outcomes, tech trend signals, and CryptoSlate market analysis.

Total Active Markets 11
Total Volume $22.89M
Open Interest $2.47M
Total Liquidity $2.74M
Added This Week 4
Closing This Week 0
More filters 1

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Market details

Showing 25 selected markets from 25 matches

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Market overview

25 markets
All selected markets, with categories, outcomes, probability, 24-hour probability change in percentage points, volume, source and actions.
Actions
Which Chinese AI company will lead Arena in October 2026?TechXiaomi43.7% Unavailable$189.17KPolymarket
Claude Fable 5.2 or Higher Release DateTechDecember 3197% -0.6 pp (24h)$215.98KPolymarket
Which Company Will Have the Best AI Model in November 2026?TechGoogle50% -6.5 pp (24h)$239.63KPolymarket
Which company has the best AI model end of October?TechGoogle69.7% +0.85 pp (24h)$2.11MPolymarket
Which company has the best AI model end of September?TechAnthropic100% +0.35 pp (24h)$4.24MPolymarket
Next Claude Opus: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Tech35%+100% +1.25 pp (24h)$60.78KPolymarket
Grok 4.6 release date?TechAugust 12100% +61.5 pp (24h)$263.09KPolymarket
OpenAI’s Astra release date?TechOctober 31100% +1.15 pp (24h)$2.08MPolymarket
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?TechAnthropic100% +3.05 pp (24h)$176.43KPolymarket
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?TechAlibaba100% +1.85 pp (24h)$1.1MPolymarket
Next Google Gemini Pro Model release date?TechNo release by August 31100% +0.7 pp (24h)$322.94KPolymarket
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?TechAnthropic100% +1.05 pp (24h)$132.35KPolymarket
OpenAI Product Announcement in 2026TechEarbuds/Headphones17.5% +3.5 pp (24h)$452.41KPolymarket
Next Mythos-Class Model release dateTechOctober 31100% +4 pp (24h)$1.61MPolymarket
OpenAI IPO dateTechJune 30, 202740.5% 0 pp (24h)$3.04MPolymarket
Which company has best AI model end of August?TechAnthropic100% +0.4 pp (24h)$3.27MPolymarket
Best Chinese AI Company end of JulyTechAlibaba100% +4.25 pp (24h)$1.04MPolymarket
Next Claude Opus released by…?TechAugust 31100% +5.6 pp (24h)$1.34MPolymarket
Anthropic IPO dateTechDecember 31, 202681.5% -1 pp (24h)$4.49MPolymarket
OpenAI valuation 2026Tech↑$1.25T75.5% -8 pp (24h)$1.28MPolymarket
Which company has best AI model end of July?TechAnthropic100% +0.3 pp (24h)$8.23MPolymarket
GPT-6 release dateTechDecember 31, 2026100% +0.65 pp (24h)$2.44MPolymarket
GPT-5.6 release dateTechJuly 9100% +1.75 pp (24h)$1.01MPolymarket
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechJune 30, 202718.5% +1 pp (24h)$3.04MPolymarket
Which company has best AI model end of June?TechAnthropic100% +0.5 pp (24h)$22.32MPolymarket

The Oracle

Twice Weekly Newsletter

See where expectations are shifting.

Follow prediction markets with a closer look at changing odds, emerging questions, and the events behind them.

The Oracle

Twice Weekly Newsletter

See where expectations are shifting.

Follow prediction markets with a closer look at changing odds, emerging questions, and the events behind them.