Tech Prediction Markets
Track tech prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for AI, software, hardware, startups, space, and major technology events.
Total Active Markets 17
Total Volume $24.43M
Open Interest $2.66M
Total Liquidity $3.01M
Added This Week 2
Closing This Week 0
Bubble size · Volume
Ring color · Probability change (24h)
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Market overview
17 markets| Actions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO date | Tech | December 31, 2026 | 73.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $4.79M |  Polymarket | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Tech | June 30, 2027 | 18.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $3.05M | Polymarket | |
| OpenAI IPO date | Tech | June 30, 2027 | 34.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $3.06M | Polymarket | |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | Tech | SpaceX | 52.5% | +8 pp (24h) | $6.54M | Polymarket | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announce date? | Tech | December 31, 2027 | 62.5% | +3 pp (24h) | $1.36M | Polymarket | |
| OpenAI valuation 2026 | Tech | ↑$1.25T | 65% | -5.5 pp (24h) | $1.29M | Polymarket | |
| OpenAI Product Announcement in 2026 | Tech | Earbuds/Headphones | 15.5% | -0.5 pp (24h) | $454.61K | Polymarket | |
| Which company has the best AI model end of October? | Tech | 72.1% | +1.55 pp (24h) | $2.54M | Polymarket | ||
| Claude Fable 5.2 or Higher Release Date | Tech | December 31 | 98.5% | +1.35 pp (24h) | $479.17K | Polymarket | |
| Which company will lead Code Arena WebDev in October 2026? | Tech | Anthropic | 84% | -3.5 pp (24h) | $106.87K | Polymarket | |
| Which company will lead LiveBench Overall in October 2026? | Tech | Anthropic | 93.7% | -0.3 pp (24h) | $42.34K | Polymarket | |
| GPT Astra 6.1 release date? | Tech | — | Unavailable | — | Polymarket | ||
| Which Company Will Have the Best AI Model in November 2026? | Tech | Anthropic | 46.5% | +9 pp (24h) | $298.23K | Polymarket | |
| Which company will lead Arena Math in October 2026? | Tech | Anthropic | 57.5% | +1.5 pp (24h) | $71.62K | Polymarket | |
| Which Chinese AI company will lead Arena in October 2026? | Tech | Xiaomi | 57.2% | +0.2 pp (24h) | $209.49K | Polymarket | |
| When will OpenAI announce its paused training has resumed? | Tech | Not resumed by October 20 | 78.5% | -3 pp (24h) | $56.92K | Polymarket | |
| Which company will lead Agent Arena in October 2026? | Tech | Anthropic | 94% | Unavailable | $77.36K | Polymarket |
