Tech Prediction Markets
Track tech prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for AI, software, hardware, startups, space, and major technology events.
Total Active Markets 15
Total Volume $23.38M
Open Interest $2.54M
Total Liquidity $2.92M
Added This Week 8
Closing This Week 0
Bubble size · Volume
Ring color · Probability change (24h)
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Market overview
15 markets| Actions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Tech | June 30, 2027 | 18.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $3.04M |  Polymarket | |
| Anthropic IPO date | Tech | December 15, 2026 | 74.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $4.54M | Polymarket | |
| OpenAI IPO date | Tech | June 30, 2027 | 40.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $3.04M | Polymarket | |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | Tech | Anthropic | 55.3% | -2.55 pp (24h) | $6.52M | Polymarket | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announce date? | Tech | December 31, 2027 | 59.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $1.32M | Polymarket | |
| OpenAI valuation 2026 | Tech | ↑$1.25T | 70.5% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $1.28M | Polymarket | |
| OpenAI Product Announcement in 2026 | Tech | Earbuds/Headphones | 21% | +3 pp (24h) | $453.78K | Polymarket | |
| Which company has the best AI model end of October? | Tech | 73.9% | +1.75 pp (24h) | $2.16M | Polymarket | ||
| Claude Fable 5.2 or Higher Release Date | Tech | December 31 | 95.9% | -0.9 pp (24h) | $294.64K | Polymarket | |
| Which company will lead Code Arena WebDev in October 2026? | Tech | Anthropic | 90% | +6 pp (24h) | $104.33K | Polymarket | |
| GPT Astra 6.1 release date? | Tech | — | Unavailable | — | Polymarket | ||
| When will Meta release its Watermelon AI model? | Tech | November 30 | 94.5% | Unavailable | $92.17K | Polymarket | |
| Which Company Will Have the Best AI Model in November 2026? | Tech | 56% | +7 pp (24h) | $264.11K | Polymarket | ||
| Which company will lead Arena Math in October 2026? | Tech | Anthropic | 53.5% | +5 pp (24h) | $68.72K | Polymarket | |
| Which Chinese AI company will lead Arena in October 2026? | Tech | Xiaomi | 39.6% | -2.8 pp (24h) | $193.3K | Polymarket |
