Politics Prediction Markets
Track politics prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for elections, leaders, policy decisions, and geopolitical events.
Total Active Markets 34
Total Volume $3.67B
Open Interest $139.81M
Total Liquidity $247.52M
Added This Week 2
Closing This Week 0
Bubble size · Volume
Ring color · Probability change (24h)
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Market overview
48 markets| Actions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Senate Election Winner | Politics | James Talarico (D) | 66.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $2.44M |  Polymarket | |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Politics | Democratic Party | 64.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $5.95M | Polymarket | |
| Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner | Politics | Peggy Flanagan | 100% | +30.5 pp (24h) | $472.23K | Polymarket | |
| CA-14 Special Election Winner? | Politics | Aisha Wahab | 100% | +9.5 pp (24h) | $167.34K | Polymarket | |
| Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? | Politics | Yes | 0% | -1.35 pp (24h) | $54.98K | Polymarket | |
| Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner | Politics | Byron Donalds | 100% | +1.15 pp (24h) | $9.8M | Polymarket | |
| Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner | Politics | Lisa Demuth | 100% | +0.05 pp (24h) | $860.66K | Polymarket | |
| Next Premier of Quebec | Politics | Paul St-Pierre Plamondon | 99.6% | -0.05 pp (24h) | $405.79K | Polymarket | |
| North Vancouver—Capilano By-Election Winner | Politics | Braeden Caley | 100% | +0.75 pp (24h) | $9.57K | Polymarket | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Politics | Yes | 28.5% | -0.5 pp (24h) | $3.89M | Polymarket | |
| Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner | Politics | Bev Craig | 100% | +0.25 pp (24h) | $426.58K | Polymarket | |
| Clacton by-election: 2nd place | Politics | Count Binface | 100% | +2.15 pp (24h) | $749.15K | Polymarket | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 4.1% | +0.25 pp (24h) | $12.42M | Polymarket | |
| Los Angeles Mayoral Election | Politics | Nithya Raman | 58.3% | -0.65 pp (24h) | $15.06M | Polymarket | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon date | Politics | December 31, 2027 | 34.5% | +1.5 pp (24h) | $8.51M | Polymarket | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations date | Politics | August 15 | 100% | +0.05 pp (24h) | $5.57M | Polymarket | |
| Oleksandr Syrskyi out as Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief date | Politics | December 31 | 100% | +9.3 pp (24h) | $562.16K | Polymarket | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 2.2% | -0.15 pp (24h) | $35.66M | Polymarket | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…? | Politics | Yes | 82.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $1.41M | Polymarket | |
| Next Secretary-General of the United Nations | Politics | Rebeca Grynspan | 53% | -5.5 pp (24h) | $216.28K | Polymarket | |
| Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner | Politics | David Crowley | 100% | +95.6 pp (24h) | $3.44M | Polymarket | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by…? | Politics | December 31 | 15.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $16.55M | Polymarket | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire date | Politics | August 14 | 100% | +4.5 pp (24h) | $17.19M | Polymarket | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | 2.3% | -0.05 pp (24h) | $43.69M | Polymarket | |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Politics | Democrats Sweep | 63.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $19.93M | Polymarket | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 15.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $72.58M | Polymarket | |
| Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner | Politics | Abdul El-Sayed | 100% | +1.6 pp (24h) | $4.56M | Polymarket | |
| Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026? | Politics | John Healey | 100% | +99.85 pp (24h) | $1.53M | Polymarket | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by…? | Politics | Yes | 3.6% | -0.05 pp (24h) | $119.79K | Polymarket | |
| South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner | Politics | Darline Graham Nordone | 100% | +36.7 pp (24h) | $4.51M | Polymarket | |
| Iran military action against a gulf state on…? | Politics | July 12 | 100% | Unavailable | $2.68M | Polymarket | |
| Clacton by-election Winner | Politics | Nigel Farage | 100% | +0.95 pp (24h) | $5.69M | Polymarket | |
| US announces blockade on Iran by…? | Politics | August 31 | 100% | Unavailable | $3.03M | Polymarket | |
| Iran leader end of 2026? | Politics | Mojtaba Khamenei | 88.1% | -0.1 pp (24h) | $40.03M | Polymarket | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 39% | +4.5 pp (24h) | $4.27M | Polymarket | |
| Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27? | Politics | Troy Jackson | 100% | +0.05 pp (24h) | $904.32K | Polymarket | |
| Russia Parliamentary Election Winner | Politics | United Russia (ER) | 100% | +0.25 pp (24h) | $5.07M | Polymarket | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? | Politics | December 31 | 13.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $19.69M | Polymarket | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Politics | Yes | 0% | -0.05 pp (24h) | $24.29M | Polymarket | |
| Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) | Politics | Starmer - UK PM | 100% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $67.42M | Polymarket | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 9.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $28.28M | Polymarket | |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | Politics | Gadi Eizenkot | 43.7% | -4.6 pp (24h) | $44.16M | Polymarket | |
| Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? | Politics | Andy Burnham | 100% | +0.05 pp (24h) | $16.65M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Politics | Democratic Party | 91.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $14.89M | Polymarket | |
| What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30? | Politics | Oil Sanction Relief | 100% | Unavailable | $13.84M | Polymarket | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…? | Politics | December 31 | 7.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $18.03M | Polymarket | |
| UK Social Media Ban Date | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 68.5% | -2 pp (24h) | $3.11K | Polymarket | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…? | Politics | July 31 | 100% | Unavailable | $62.8M | Polymarket |
