US x Iran permanent peace deal by…? June 15 100%
June 30 100%
July 31 100%
+14 more outcomes
Iran Prediction Markets
Track Iran prediction markets with live odds, market volume, liquidity, leadership outcomes, nuclear deal and blockade risk signals, and CryptoSlate market analysis.
Total Active Markets 43
Total Volume $3.42B
Open Interest $157.09M
Total Liquidity $249.37M
US x Iran permanent peace deal by…? 
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? December 31 9%
September 30 4.8%
August 31 2.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 100%
Yes 0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…? June 14 100%
June 15 100%
June 16 100%
+20 more outcomes
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 83.5%
Yes 16.5%
Iran leader end of 2026? Mojtaba Khamenei 79.3%
No Head of State 4.6%
Reza Pahlavi 3.3%
+27 more outcomes
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 100%
Yes 0%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…? December 31 12.5%
October 31 5.5%
August 31 2.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire date August 31 91.5%
August 14 90.5%
July 31 88.5%
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30? Oil Sanction Relief 100%
Unfreeze Iranian Assets 100%
Troop Withdrawal 100%
+2 more outcomes
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? December 31 31.5%
September 30 10.5%
August 31 2.5%
+2 more outcomes
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations date July 31 100%
August 15 100%
August 31 100%
+3 more outcomes