Iran Prediction Markets
Track Iran prediction markets with live odds, market volume, liquidity, leadership outcomes, nuclear deal and blockade risk signals, and CryptoSlate market analysis.
Total Active Markets 41
Total Volume $3.7B
Open Interest $141.15M
Total Liquidity $253.68M
Added This Week 2
Closing This Week 1
Bubble size · Volume
Ring color · Probability change (24h)
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Market overview
15 markets| Actions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations date | Politics | August 15 | 100% | +0.05 pp (24h) | $5.57M |  Polymarket | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire date | Politics | August 14 | 100% | +4.5 pp (24h) | $17.19M | Polymarket | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 17.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $73.53M | Polymarket | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by…? | Politics | Yes | 3.7% | 0 pp (24h) | $125.68K | Polymarket | |
| Iran military action against a gulf state on…? | Politics | July 12 | 100% | Unavailable | $2.68M | Polymarket | |
| US announces blockade on Iran by…? | Politics | August 31 | 100% | Unavailable | $3.03M | Polymarket | |
| Iran leader end of 2026? | Politics | Mojtaba Khamenei | 87.3% | -0.3 pp (24h) | $40.19M | Polymarket | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? | Politics | December 31 | 14.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $19.87M | Polymarket | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Politics | Yes | 0% | -0.05 pp (24h) | $24.29M | Polymarket | |
| What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30? | Politics | Oil Sanction Relief | 100% | Unavailable | $13.84M | Polymarket | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…? | Politics | December 31 | 6.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $18.05M | Polymarket | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…? | Politics | July 31 | 100% | Unavailable | $62.8M | Polymarket | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Politics | Yes | 0% | -0.05 pp (24h) | $65.93M | Polymarket | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? | Politics | December 31 | 6.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $75.82M | Polymarket | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by…? | Politics | August 31 | 100% | +0.25 pp (24h) | $478.91M | Polymarket |
