Politics Prediction Markets
Track politics prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for elections, leaders, policy decisions, and geopolitical events.
Total Active Markets 37
Total Volume $3.69B
Open Interest $139.97M
Total Liquidity $251.24M
Added This Week 5
Closing This Week 0
Bubble size · Volume
Ring color · Probability change (24h)
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Market overview
48 markets| Actions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 17.9% | -0.1 pp (24h) | $1.29B |  Polymarket | |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Politics | JD Vance | 19.1% | -0.6 pp (24h) | $715.01M | Polymarket | |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | J.D. Vance | 48.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $710.71M | Polymarket | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by…? | Politics | August 31 | 100% | +0.25 pp (24h) | $478.91M | Polymarket | |
| Brazil Presidential Election | Politics | Flávio Bolsonaro | 88.2% | -0.4 pp (24h) | $179.86M | Polymarket | |
| Next French Presidential Election | Politics | Marine Le Pen | 40.2% | -0.9 pp (24h) | $148.48M | Polymarket | |
| Peru Presidential Election Winner | Politics | Keiko Fujimori | 100% | +0.05 pp (24h) | $107.15M | Polymarket | |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | Politics | Nicolás Maduro | 71.5% | -0.6 pp (24h) | $98.15M | Polymarket | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? | Politics | December 31 | 6.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $75.75M | Polymarket | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 16.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $73.16M | Polymarket | |
| Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) | Politics | Starmer - UK PM | 100% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $67.42M | Polymarket | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Politics | Yes | 0% | -0.05 pp (24h) | $65.93M | Polymarket | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…? | Politics | July 31 | 100% | Unavailable | $62.8M | Polymarket | |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | Politics | Gadi Eizenkot | 41.8% | -2.4 pp (24h) | $44.99M | Polymarket | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | 2.2% | -0.1 pp (24h) | $43.83M | Polymarket | |
| California Governor Election Winner | Politics | Xavier Becerra | 96.1% | +0.1 pp (24h) | $41.74M | Polymarket | |
| Iran leader end of 2026? | Politics | Mojtaba Khamenei | 87.6% | +0.4 pp (24h) | $40.18M | Polymarket | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 2.3% | 0 pp (24h) | $35.67M | Polymarket | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 9.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $28.76M | Polymarket | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Politics | Yes | 0% | -0.05 pp (24h) | $24.29M | Polymarket | |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Politics | Democrats Sweep | 61.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $21.33M | Polymarket | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? | Politics | December 31 | 13.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $19.86M | Polymarket | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…? | Politics | December 31 | 6.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $18.04M | Polymarket | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire date | Politics | August 14 | 100% | +4.5 pp (24h) | $17.19M | Polymarket | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by…? | Politics | December 31 | 15.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $16.75M | Polymarket | |
| Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? | Politics | Andy Burnham | 100% | +0.05 pp (24h) | $16.65M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Politics | Democratic Party | 90.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $16.04M | Polymarket | |
| Los Angeles Mayoral Election | Politics | Nithya Raman | 50.4% | -9.6 pp (24h) | $15.28M | Polymarket | |
| What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30? | Politics | Oil Sanction Relief | 100% | Unavailable | $13.84M | Polymarket | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 4.2% | -0.1 pp (24h) | $12.46M | Polymarket | |
| Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner | Politics | Byron Donalds | 100% | +1.15 pp (24h) | $9.8M | Polymarket | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon date | Politics | December 31, 2027 | 33% | -1 pp (24h) | $8.51M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Politics | Democratic Party | 62.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $6.27M | Polymarket | |
| Clacton by-election Winner | Politics | Nigel Farage | 100% | +0.95 pp (24h) | $5.69M | Polymarket | |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations date | Politics | August 15 | 100% | +0.05 pp (24h) | $5.57M | Polymarket | |
| Russia Parliamentary Election Winner | Politics | United Russia (ER) | 100% | +0.25 pp (24h) | $5.07M | Polymarket | |
| Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner | Politics | Abdul El-Sayed | 100% | +1.6 pp (24h) | $4.56M | Polymarket | |
| South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner | Politics | Darline Graham Nordone | 100% | +36.7 pp (24h) | $4.51M | Polymarket | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 39.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $4.28M | Polymarket | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Politics | Yes | 24.5% | -3.5 pp (24h) | $3.89M | Polymarket | |
| Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner | Politics | David Crowley | 100% | +95.6 pp (24h) | $3.44M | Polymarket | |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | Politics | James Talarico (D) | 63.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $3.16M | Polymarket | |
| US announces blockade on Iran by…? | Politics | August 31 | 100% | Unavailable | $3.03M | Polymarket | |
| Iran military action against a gulf state on…? | Politics | July 12 | 100% | Unavailable | $2.68M | Polymarket | |
| Netanyahu out by…? | Politics | Yes | 38.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $2.67M | Polymarket | |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Democratic | 63.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $2.48M | Polymarket | |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Date | Politics | December 31 | 8.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $2.24M | Polymarket | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…? | Politics | Yes | 85% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $1.7M | Polymarket |
