Politics Prediction Markets
Track politics prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for elections, leaders, policy decisions, and geopolitical events.
Total Active Markets 36
Total Volume $3.68B
Open Interest $141.27M
Total Liquidity $249.95M
Added This Week 4
Closing This Week 0
Bubble size · Volume
Ring color · Probability change (24h)
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Market overview
36 markets| Actions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next French Presidential Election | Politics | Marine Le Pen | 40.9% | -0.45 pp (24h) | $148.06M |  Polymarket | |
| Next Secretary-General of the United Nations | Politics | Rebeca Grynspan | 40% | -7.5 pp (24h) | $220.24K | Polymarket | |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Politics | JD Vance | 19.2% | -0.7 pp (24h) | $714.81M | Polymarket | |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Date | Politics | December 31 | 8.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $2.23M | Polymarket | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? | Politics | December 31 | 6.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $75.71M | Polymarket | |
| Brazil Presidential Election | Politics | Flávio Bolsonaro | 89% | +3.3 pp (24h) | $179.37M | Polymarket | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…? | Politics | Yes | 84.5% | +2 pp (24h) | $1.6M | Polymarket | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 15.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $73.05M | Polymarket | |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Politics | Democrats Sweep | 61.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $21.11M | Polymarket | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | 2.3% | -0.05 pp (24h) | $43.77M | Polymarket | |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | Politics | Nicolás Maduro | 72.1% | +0.8 pp (24h) | $98.11M | Polymarket | |
| California Governor Election Winner | Politics | Xavier Becerra | 96% | -0.05 pp (24h) | $41.74M | Polymarket | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 9.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $28.71M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Politics | Democratic Party | 90.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $15.62M | Polymarket | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 4.3% | -0.2 pp (24h) | $12.46M | Polymarket | |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 18% | 0 pp (24h) | $1.29B | Polymarket | |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Democratic | 63.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $2.48M | Polymarket | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…? | Politics | December 31 | 6.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $18.03M | Polymarket | |
| Los Angeles Mayoral Election | Politics | Nithya Raman | 60.4% | +2.6 pp (24h) | $15.2M | Polymarket | |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | J.D. Vance | 48.5% | -0.1 pp (24h) | $710.55M | Polymarket | |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | Politics | Gadi Eizenkot | 44.4% | +0.7 pp (24h) | $44.7M | Polymarket | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by…? | Politics | December 31 | 15% | -0.5 pp (24h) | $16.68M | Polymarket | |
| UK Social Media Ban Date | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 72.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $3.84K | Polymarket | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 2.3% | 0 pp (24h) | $35.66M | Polymarket | |
| Next Premier of Quebec | Politics | Paul St-Pierre Plamondon | 99.6% | -0.05 pp (24h) | $407.77K | Polymarket | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Politics | Yes | 27% | -2 pp (24h) | $3.89M | Polymarket | |
| Iran leader end of 2026? | Politics | Mojtaba Khamenei | 87.5% | +0.05 pp (24h) | $40.17M | Polymarket | |
| Netanyahu out by…? | Politics | Yes | 37.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $2.66M | Polymarket | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon date | Politics | December 31, 2027 | 34% | 0 pp (24h) | $8.51M | Polymarket | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 39.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $4.27M | Polymarket | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? | Politics | December 31 | 14.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $19.83M | Polymarket | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by…? | Politics | Yes | 3.5% | -0.05 pp (24h) | $119.79K | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Politics | Democratic Party | 62.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $6.22M | Polymarket | |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | Politics | James Talarico (D) | 62.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $3.01M | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win Michigan’s 2026 US Senate election? | Politics | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | 69% | -2.5 pp (24h) | $1.52M | Polymarket | |
| Who will win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Politics | Olivia Chow | 72% | -1 pp (24h) | $287.8K | Polymarket |
