Economy Prediction Markets
Track economy prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for inflation, interest rates, jobs, GDP, recession risk, and macro trends.
Market overview
20 markets| Actions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in September? | Economy | 25 bps increase | 100% | +12.5 pp (24h) | $208.02M | ||
| Fed Decision in June? | Economy | No change | 100% | +0.45 pp (24h) | $164.64M | ||
| Fed Decision in July? | Economy | No change | 100% | +23.1 pp (24h) | $143.87M | ||
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | Economy | 0 (0 bps) | 95.6% | 0 pp (24h) | $54M | ||
| Fed Decision in October? | Economy | No change | 83.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $31.56M | ||
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Economy | Yes | 100% | +4.5 pp (24h) | $10.12M | ||
| Largest Company 2026 | Economy | NVIDIA | 83.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $8.02M | ||
| Crude Oil All-Time High | Economy | March 31, 2027 | 18.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $4.78M | ||
| US recession 2026 | Economy | Yes | 6.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $2.29M | ||
| Bank of Japan Decision in July? | Economy | No change | 100% | +0.4 pp (24h) | $892.01K | ||
| July Inflation US – Annual | Economy | 3.4% | 100% | +61.5 pp (24h) | $649.47K | ||
| ECB Interest Rates: July 2026 | Economy | No change | 100% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $559.31K | ||
| ECB Interest Rate Decision: October 2026 | Economy | No change | 92% | -2.5 pp (24h) | $520.18K | ||
| July Inflation US – Monthly | Economy | ≥0.1% | 100% | +19.5 pp (24h) | $304.9K | ||
| Core CPI MoM – July 2026 | Economy | 0.2% | 100% | +46.15 pp (24h) | $173.07K | ||
| Core CPI YoY – July 2026 | Economy | 2.5% | 100% | +53.5 pp (24h) | $139.96K | ||
| PPI YoY – July 2026 | Economy | ≤5.1% | 100% | +20 pp (24h) | $66.85K | ||
| September Inflation US – Monthly | Economy | 0.6% | 37% | +3.5 pp (24h) | $61.12K | ||
| July Unemployment Rate | Economy | 4.1% | 100% | +74 pp (24h) | $49.09K | ||
| What will US core inflation be in September 2026? | Economy | 0.2% | 47.5% | Unavailable | $32.25K |
