Economy Prediction Markets

Track economy prediction markets, including live odds, market volume, liquidity, and forecast signals for inflation, interest rates, jobs, GDP, recession risk, and macro trends.

Total Active Markets 8
Total Volume $101.27M
Open Interest $8.42M
Total Liquidity $9.02M
Added This Week 4
Closing This Week 0
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Market details

Showing 20 selected markets from 20 matches

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Market overview

20 markets
All selected markets, with categories, outcomes, probability, 24-hour probability change in percentage points, volume, source and actions.
Actions
Fed Decision in September?Economy25 bps increase100% +12.5 pp (24h)$208.02MPolymarket
Fed Decision in June?EconomyNo change100% +0.45 pp (24h)$164.64MPolymarket
Fed Decision in July?EconomyNo change100% +23.1 pp (24h)$143.87MPolymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?Economy0 (0 bps)95.6% 0 pp (24h)$54MPolymarket
Fed Decision in October?EconomyNo change83.5% 0 pp (24h)$31.56MPolymarket
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes100% +4.5 pp (24h)$10.12MPolymarket
Largest Company 2026EconomyNVIDIA83.5% 0 pp (24h)$8.02MPolymarket
Crude Oil All-Time HighEconomyMarch 31, 202718.5% -1 pp (24h)$4.78MPolymarket
US recession 2026EconomyYes6.5% 0 pp (24h)$2.29MPolymarket
Bank of Japan Decision in July?EconomyNo change100% +0.4 pp (24h)$892.01KPolymarket
July Inflation US – AnnualEconomy3.4%100% +61.5 pp (24h)$649.47KPolymarket
ECB Interest Rates: July 2026EconomyNo change100% +0.5 pp (24h)$559.31KPolymarket
ECB Interest Rate Decision: October 2026EconomyNo change92% -2.5 pp (24h)$520.18KPolymarket
July Inflation US – MonthlyEconomy≥0.1%100% +19.5 pp (24h)$304.9KPolymarket
Core CPI MoM – July 2026Economy0.2%100% +46.15 pp (24h)$173.07KPolymarket
Core CPI YoY – July 2026Economy2.5%100% +53.5 pp (24h)$139.96KPolymarket
PPI YoY – July 2026Economy≤5.1%100% +20 pp (24h)$66.85KPolymarket
September Inflation US – MonthlyEconomy0.6%37% +3.5 pp (24h)$61.12KPolymarket
July Unemployment RateEconomy4.1%100% +74 pp (24h)$49.09KPolymarket
What will US core inflation be in September 2026?Economy0.2%47.5% Unavailable$32.25KPolymarket

The Oracle

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Follow prediction markets with a closer look at changing odds, emerging questions, and the events behind them.

The Oracle

Twice Weekly Newsletter

See where expectations are shifting.

Follow prediction markets with a closer look at changing odds, emerging questions, and the events behind them.